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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 12, 2016
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Thunder25%10085
1Spurs75%10993
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.3
38.2
35.8
19
47%
6
7
2
2
0
9
3
3
8-10
80%
4-12
6-13
33%
45%
1-4
25%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.4
37.2
36.0
28
51%
4
8
1
1
1
3
0
4
6-6
100%
11-20
6-12
55%
52%
0-5
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.5
37.1
27.2
7
25%
12
0
3
0
0
1
2
10
1-2
50%
3-10
4-7
30%
50%
0-3
0%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.3
34.4
18.9
6
104%
5
1
0
1
1
0
2
3
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
54%
1-1
100%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.6
21.6
25.7
10
63%
5
0
0
0
0
0
4
1
0-0
-
5-8
3-6
63%
54%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 23.8
28.0
18.9
11
75%
17
0
0
0
0
1
4
13
3-3
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
51%
0-0
-
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.9
18.8
19.9
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
0-4
0%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 32.5
15.5
23.2
4
41%
4
1
1
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
38%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 35.4
8.9
9.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.5
0.3
13.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Josh Huestis
G · 6'7" 230 · 24.2
4.4
0
0-1
41%
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.6
3.3
0
0-1
42%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 38.5
0.8
0
0-0
42%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.3
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.7
37.8
34.0
26
50%
7
3
3
2
1
2
2
5
5-5
100%
9-18
7-12
50%
54%
1-6
17%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.6
37.4
31.6
24
72%
9
3
0
0
1
3
2
7
6-6
100%
9-14
7-15
64%
50%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.7
29.7
25.9
5
23%
4
1
2
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
1-9
11%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.8
28.2
23.5
4
30%
2
4
0
1
0
2
1
1
4-6
67%
0-3
4-8
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.9
22.5
24.3
11
70%
6
1
2
1
0
0
3
3
1-2
50%
5-7
4-7
71%
51%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.5
26.4
20.2
8
40%
7
0
0
1
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
4-10
3-6
40%
52%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.6
19.8
19.6
4
29%
7
3
1
1
0
0
1
6
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
50%
1-4
25%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.6
15.7
18.5
2
26%
0
0
3
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
51%
0-2
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.9
9.5
11.9
4
67%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
54%
0-1
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.5
9.3
17.0
2
33%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 33.1
3.8
8.1
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
1-1
100%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 40.0
8.0
0
1-1
52%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.6
5.0
0
1-2
58%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.5
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.