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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 12, 2016
9:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Wizards
100
21Nuggets
116
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.5
41
34
19
5
11
0
2
1
6
1
4
6-7
86%
5-12
6-14
42%
47%
1-3
33%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 29.8
34
23
12
5
0
1
1
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
2-5
40%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 22.8
33
27
23
2
1
5
1
0
2
2
0
5-6
83%
6-13
3-5
46%
52%
2-3
67%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 26.5
30
27
8
6
2
1
1
1
2
2
4
2-3
67%
3-8
4-8
38%
46%
0-1
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.1
8
24
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
4-8
20%
55%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.5
25
18
5
3
2
4
1
1
2
1
2
1-4
25%
2-7
3-6
29%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 28.8
19
19
8
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
44%
2-6
33%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.9
18
21
6
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
47%
0-2
0%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 30.7
18
22
5
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
51%
0-1
0%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27.5
12
6
10
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
4-5
80%
3-6
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 20.3
1
5
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jarell Eddie
G-F · 6'7" 218 · 24.4
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 34.5
3
0
0-1
43%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 22.7
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.5
31
32
17
5
2
1
1
1
3
1
4
1-1
100%
8-10
4-7
80%
53%
0-3
0%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.0
22
31
10
0
2
1
1
0
4
0
0
2-2
100%
4-7
4-11
57%
42%
0-2
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.3
21
22
10
5
0
0
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
4-6
5-9
67%
55%
0-0
-
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.1
17
26
0
5
3
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
5-9
-
54%
0-0
-
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 23.0
14
17
4
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
2-3
-
50%
1-2
50%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 28.3
31
20
17
2
10
1
1
0
3
0
2
6-7
86%
4-5
1-3
80%
43%
1-5
20%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.2
30
26
14
10
2
1
1
1
2
1
9
1-2
50%
5-9
4-8
56%
50%
1-3
33%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.0
29
23
17
6
2
1
1
1
1
3
3
2-2
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
48%
3-5
60%
Axel Toupane
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.6
19
13
8
0
1
3
0
2
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
2-4
50%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.6
18
5
17
4
1
1
0
2
2
2
2
7-9
78%
5-8
1-2
63%
46%
0-0
-
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.4
9
17
2
5
0
1
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
53%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.1
7
0
0-1
47%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.1
3
0
0-0
50%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.8
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.