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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 14, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Nuggets
119
11Heat
124
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.5
34
31
18
3
2
3
1
0
0
0
3
5-6
83%
5-9
3-7
56%
52%
1-5
20%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.0
33
27
23
3
10
0
1
0
5
0
3
3-5
60%
7-15
4-9
47%
40%
2-4
50%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.1
28
22
12
8
4
2
1
1
1
3
5
1-2
50%
4-8
4-7
50%
52%
1-2
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.3
26
21
24
11
2
0
1
1
3
6
5
2-3
67%
11-11
4-8
100%
53%
0-0
-
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 23.0
23
15
8
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
47%
0-1
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.0
27
25
7
5
0
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
46%
1-2
50%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 28.3
25
24
13
1
3
2
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
5-11
2-4
45%
41%
1-3
33%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.2
20
27
0
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-4
4-8
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Axel Toupane
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.6
13
15
4
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.5
12
14
10
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
51%
0-0
-
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.6
11
0
2-4
44%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.1
7
0
0-1
44%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.1
3
0
0-0
38%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.8
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.9
33
32
17
8
2
2
1
0
1
2
6
3-3
100%
7-8
4-8
88%
50%
0-2
0%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.9
33
33
11
2
8
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
4-6
6-10
67%
55%
1-4
25%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.2
31
21
19
2
5
2
1
1
5
0
2
5-7
71%
7-15
5-11
47%
50%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 34.7
30
32
18
2
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
4-5
80%
4-6
3-7
67%
48%
2-5
40%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.3
11
16
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
3-5
100%
55%
0-0
-
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.0
33
31
20
3
0
2
1
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
7-12
3-6
58%
52%
1-1
100%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.5
33
25
17
4
2
2
1
3
1
1
3
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
4-5
80%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.8
31
29
18
10
0
0
1
1
4
2
8
6-6
100%
6-7
6-10
86%
61%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.0
6
4
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23.9
25
1
3-5
51%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.1
11
0
1-2
48%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.8
2
0
0-1
48%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.