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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 14, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Bulls27%99109
6Raptors73%108107
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.7
35
26
13
10
3
1
1
1
1
5
5
1-1
100%
6-8
3-6
75%
50%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 26.5
34
11
13
5
6
0
0
2
0
1
4
3-4
75%
5-16
2-4
31%
48%
0-2
0%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 25.1
32
20
17
5
2
1
1
1
3
1
4
4-4
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
45%
3-8
38%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 27.0
31
29
17
4
4
0
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
7-9
3-7
78%
48%
1-2
50%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 26.9
14
25
5
3
1
0
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 24.2
37
22
29
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
7-8
88%
5-6
2-5
83%
47%
4-5
80%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 21.1
23
14
6
7
1
0
0
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 31.2
17
12
7
0
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
42%
0-4
0%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 24.3
12
9
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 23.7
6
3
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 35.5
27
1
2-3
46%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.4
23
1
4-10
46%
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
6
0
1-2
46%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.0
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 35.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 30.0
41
37
33
11
7
3
2
0
3
1
10
11-13
85%
8-15
4-8
53%
48%
2-5
40%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.6
39
35
27
5
2
1
1
0
1
1
4
7-7
100%
10-21
8-16
48%
47%
0-1
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.1
17
14
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-3
1-3
0%
56%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 35.9
16
15
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.9
10
26
8
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
3-3
5-9
100%
57%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.0
32
28
13
6
2
0
1
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
52%
3-7
43%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.6
26
25
6
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
52%
0-1
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 23.5
26
20
6
6
0
0
0
6
0
4
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
54%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 25.1
18
21
3
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
1-3
33%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.6
12
6
7
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
3-3
100%
2-2
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 22.8
4
9
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.9
4
0
0-1
47%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 23.6
2
0
0-0
53%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 20.5
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.