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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 15, 2016
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Kings59%110106
29Lakers41%10698
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.6
41.1
32.6
22
74%
1
6
1
1
0
5
0
1
1-2
50%
9-12
4-7
75%
53%
1-2
50%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 30.1
36.7
35.0
9
46%
6
12
4
2
0
6
1
5
4-4
100%
1-3
4-8
33%
49%
1-5
20%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.6
36.1
28.5
22
66%
8
3
3
1
4
3
0
8
13-15
87%
3-9
7-14
33%
50%
1-1
100%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.6
35.5
31.1
20
59%
8
3
3
1
1
1
1
7
2-2
100%
9-14
4-8
64%
50%
0-2
0%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.6
31.8
20.2
8
103%
7
0
1
1
1
0
0
7
2-2
100%
3-3
3-5
100%
58%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.7
20.3
24.4
9
37%
4
1
4
1
1
0
0
4
1-3
33%
4-8
3-5
50%
53%
0-3
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.0
15.0
16.3
9
41%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-8
2-4
25%
49%
1-2
50%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.1
11.9
14.3
6
68%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-1
0%
3-4
2-4
75%
53%
0-0
-
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.6
6.1
12.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-2
0%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.4
5.5
15.5
1
27%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
2-3
-
56%
0-1
0%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 23.1
6.9
0
1-1
51%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 27.0
4.1
0
0-1
48%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 36.0
3.2
0
0-0
44%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 24.2
Duje Dukan
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 21.3
30.9
25.6
14
48%
11
3
2
1
0
2
4
7
4-6
67%
5-12
5-10
42%
47%
0-0
-
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 23.8
26.4
27.1
12
38%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
49%
2-8
25%
D'Angelo Russell
G · 6'5" 195 · 20.1
25.3
26.7
14
58%
3
3
4
1
0
5
0
3
5-7
71%
3-4
4-7
75%
49%
1-5
20%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 36.3
19.1
14.5
2
17%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
0-3
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 29.3
13.6
19.7
3
39%
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
0-0
-
Larry Nance Jr.
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.2
25.0
21.5
12
86%
9
1
1
1
0
2
0
9
0-0
-
6-6
3-5
100%
54%
0-1
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 29.4
24.3
20.3
17
61%
4
2
1
1
1
2
1
3
9-11
82%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
2-6
33%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.8
22.2
3.4
10
100%
5
2
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
5-5
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 24.9
20.9
5.6
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Marcelo Huertas
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.8
20.0
24.4
8
40%
5
6
0
1
1
5
1
4
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Tarik Black
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.3
12.2
4.0
6
100%
3
1
0
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
1-1
100%
55%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 30.9
24.1
1
3-6
53%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30.8
9.6
0
1-1
43%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 37.6
Anthony Brown
F · 6'7" 224 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.