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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 17, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Grizzlies34%9786
24Bucks66%10296
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 25.5
38
25
19
7
6
1
1
0
3
1
6
3-3
100%
8-20
4-8
40%
49%
0-1
0%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 25.7
37
29
11
6
2
1
1
1
0
5
1
1-1
100%
5-14
5-9
36%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 36.0
35
30
20
7
3
1
1
1
5
1
6
3-4
75%
4-9
3-5
44%
50%
3-9
33%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 34.2
34
28
13
4
2
2
2
0
0
2
2
3-3
100%
5-11
3-7
45%
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 31.4
25
21
6
10
0
0
0
0
2
3
7
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
60%
0-0
-
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 21.8
18
22
5
3
1
0
1
0
2
2
1
1-2
50%
2-7
4-7
29%
49%
0-0
-
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.8
15
20
4
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Briante Weber
G · 6'2" 165 · 23.2
15
31
2
4
2
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Alex Stepheson
F · 6'10" 270 · 28.6
11
11
4
4
0
0
0
1
0
3
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Xavier Munford
G · 6'4" 173 · 23.8
11
3
2
1
0
2
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.7
10
0
2-4
48%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 39.1
8
0
1-1
43%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.7
5
0
0-1
58%
PJ Hairston
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.2
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 21.7
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 31.1
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.4
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 21.3
30
35
15
6
11
1
1
3
3
2
4
3-4
75%
6-8
7-13
75%
53%
0-1
0%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 24.6
30
34
10
1
2
2
2
1
3
1
0
0-0
-
2-7
5-10
29%
49%
2-6
33%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.0
28
35
7
3
0
0
1
1
0
1
2
1-2
50%
3-10
7-13
30%
52%
0-1
0%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 25.8
27
26
14
10
0
0
1
1
1
0
10
4-6
67%
5-6
5-10
83%
53%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.6
25
32
10
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
2-5
40%
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 21.6
23
18
13
5
3
1
1
0
0
1
4
1-1
100%
6-10
2-4
60%
46%
0-0
-
Damien Inglis
F · 6'8" 246 · 20.8
22
3
10
5
2
0
0
3
0
0
5
4-4
100%
3-3
0-0
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.5
21
18
9
7
1
1
1
3
1
2
5
1-2
50%
4-5
3-5
80%
56%
0-0
-
Rashad Vaughn
G · 6'6" 202 · 19.6
21
11
5
4
0
0
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
41%
1-4
25%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 25.2
14
7
3
2
0
2
0
4
1
2
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
57%
0-0
-
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 22.8
0
13
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-0
-
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 24.4
8
0
1-2
48%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 24.8
2
0
0-0
42%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.4
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 29.2
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.