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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 17, 2016
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Trail Blazers
110
1Spurs
118
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.7
40
31
23
3
6
0
1
1
2
0
3
6-6
100%
4-12
4-10
33%
45%
3-7
43%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
39
29
26
7
2
1
1
2
3
1
6
2-2
100%
6-14
4-10
43%
44%
4-6
67%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 26.0
28
22
12
8
5
2
1
0
3
2
6
6-9
67%
3-8
3-5
38%
52%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.5
27
22
8
6
4
0
1
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
45%
2-5
40%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 20.6
11
17
8
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
42%
0-0
-
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.9
26
22
4
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 28.3
25
19
10
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
3-4
75%
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.8
17
15
5
9
3
1
0
0
0
3
6
3-7
43%
1-4
2-3
25%
55%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 33.9
15
7
12
5
1
0
0
1
1
3
2
2-2
100%
5-6
1-2
83%
45%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.9
9
15
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 30.3
3
10
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.1
21
0
2-3
50%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.2
8
0
1-2
40%
Cliff Alexander
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.3
Luis Montero
· 6'7" 185 · 22.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.7
31
34
22
2
1
0
2
3
0
0
2
2-2
100%
4-7
7-12
57%
55%
4-4
100%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.8
27
24
18
1
16
2
1
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
7-13
4-7
54%
52%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.7
26
31
22
6
1
1
1
1
1
0
6
4-5
80%
9-14
7-14
64%
51%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.7
24
27
7
5
3
2
1
3
0
1
4
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
1-2
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.9
21
22
11
7
0
0
1
2
0
0
7
1-1
100%
5-6
3-6
83%
52%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 33.1
21
9
8
4
3
1
0
0
0
1
3
2-3
67%
3-6
1-2
50%
43%
0-3
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.6
21
21
17
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
3-8
2-4
38%
51%
3-4
75%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.6
18
16
2
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
52%
0-1
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.5
17
19
2
1
2
0
1
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
53%
0-1
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.5
15
15
0
4
4
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.9
14
13
9
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
4-6
1-3
67%
55%
0-1
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 40.0
2
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.6
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
58%
0-0
-
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.5
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.