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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 19, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Knicks35%10189
12Wizards65%10699
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.8
39.6
32.6
20
44%
7
5
1
1
0
3
0
7
4-4
100%
5-15
6-13
33%
47%
2-6
33%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 20.6
38.5
21.0
20
63%
7
2
0
1
3
5
3
4
4-4
100%
5-11
3-7
45%
47%
2-3
67%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 28.0
33.9
23.6
9
58%
7
2
0
0
3
0
5
2
3-4
75%
3-6
4-7
50%
54%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 34.5
24.4
24.2
10
63%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
2-3
67%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 32.0
12.7
19.2
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
39%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.4
35.3
28.1
10
46%
3
1
0
0
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
1-7
3-6
14%
48%
2-3
67%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.3
20.4
27.5
9
43%
2
4
1
1
2
0
0
2
0-1
0%
3-7
2-5
43%
44%
1-3
33%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.8
17.8
17.8
5
36%
2
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
50%
1-3
33%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 26.3
14.1
11.5
6
61%
9
1
0
0
1
1
1
8
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 23.4
3.1
16.8
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
45%
0-0
-
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 26.0
9.4
0
2-3
51%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.9
7.9
0
1-2
45%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 33.3
5.5
0
1-2
43%
Cleanthony Early
F · 6'8" 210 · 24.9
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.5
39.2
34.6
24
61%
2
10
1
2
1
1
0
2
6-6
100%
6-14
6-13
43%
48%
2-3
67%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 26.5
36.4
22.2
17
57%
4
1
3
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
7-9
3-7
78%
49%
1-6
17%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.1
33.0
24.1
15
72%
11
2
0
1
1
1
2
9
1-1
100%
7-10
5-8
70%
57%
0-0
-
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 22.7
32.4
27.3
10
39%
3
6
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
3-8
4-9
38%
48%
1-4
25%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 22.8
29.7
31.6
15
50%
6
1
0
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
54%
3-7
43%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33.4
18.3
9.5
2
17%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
0-5
0%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 29.9
15.6
29.8
5
133%
7
0
0
1
2
2
0
7
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
46%
1-1
100%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.5
15.0
18.2
7
75%
3
2
2
1
0
1
1
2
3-6
50%
2-2
3-6
100%
53%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 30.7
11.7
17.9
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-2
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.9
8.8
18.9
4
33%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 28.8
14.1
1
2-3
46%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27.5
5.5
0
1-2
51%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 20.3
3.5
0
0-1
50%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 34.5
Jarell Eddie
G-F · 6'7" 218 · 24.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.