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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with player e-skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 19, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Cavaliers59%104101
11Heat41%101122
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.0
27
36
14
0
4
3
1
0
4
0
0
3-3
100%
4-6
6-13
67%
49%
1-2
50%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 31.2
27
28
26
3
3
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
13-17
6-11
76%
54%
0-3
0%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 25.7
22
24
4
3
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-2
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.5
19
28
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 27.5
16
27
7
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
47%
1-4
25%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 35.7
29
13
20
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
4
3-3
100%
4-6
1-1
67%
48%
3-4
75%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.5
25
22
10
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-9
1-3
22%
41%
2-3
67%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 25.0
18
29
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
54%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 32.8
16
18
3
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
1-2
50%
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 25.0
16
2
1
3
2
0
0
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
0-3
0-0
0%
44%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 29.7
11
12
4
4
0
0
0
3
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
54%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.5
11
4
7
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
0-1
0-0
0%
41%
2-3
67%
Sasha Kaun
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.9
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 34.7
31
31
18
3
2
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
4-6
67%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.9
29
33
18
4
11
1
1
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
7-12
5-10
58%
54%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.2
28
27
24
4
4
1
1
0
2
2
2
4-4
100%
10-17
6-13
59%
49%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.9
23
32
3
3
1
0
1
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
4-8
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.3
12
17
8
5
1
0
0
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
3-4
3-5
75%
54%
0-0
-
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.5
32
26
19
2
2
1
1
1
2
0
2
3-4
75%
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
4-6
67%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.0
31
30
4
3
4
1
1
0
0
2
1
0-2
0%
2-7
3-6
29%
51%
0-1
0%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.8
24
28
16
13
2
0
1
2
2
4
9
4-5
80%
6-9
5-9
67%
60%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.1
12
4
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.1
11
6
8
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
47%
2-4
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.8
6
2
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
48%
0-0
-
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23.9
11
0
1-2
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use e-skills to estimate a player's true skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about E-Skills here.