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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 20, 2016
4:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Trail Blazers45%107120
14Mavericks55%108132
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.7
44
34
26
4
8
1
1
0
5
2
2
6-6
100%
4-16
5-11
25%
48%
4-10
40%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
43
33
22
1
8
2
1
1
4
0
1
1-2
50%
6-14
6-12
43%
47%
3-8
38%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.5
35
25
12
5
5
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
4-12
33%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 26.0
32
26
14
19
2
1
1
1
1
10
9
4-9
44%
5-9
3-6
56%
55%
0-0
-
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 20.6
14
13
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.9
36
25
24
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
4-5
80%
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
6-10
60%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 28.3
25
23
8
4
0
2
1
1
1
2
2
1-2
50%
2-6
3-6
33%
47%
1-5
20%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.8
20
18
6
7
2
2
0
1
1
3
4
2-4
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
58%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.9
15
16
8
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
2-3
80%
55%
0-1
0%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 30.3
1
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.1
10
0
1-2
53%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 33.9
7
0
1-3
49%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.2
4
0
0-1
45%
Cliff Alexander
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.3
Luis Montero
· 6'7" 185 · 23.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.7
43
27
31
3
16
3
1
0
5
0
3
5-5
100%
7-12
3-6
58%
46%
4-6
67%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.4
42
30
15
5
3
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
50%
5-7
71%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 37.8
39
31
40
8
4
2
1
0
2
0
8
5-5
100%
13-21
5-10
62%
50%
3-5
60%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 31.7
25
24
11
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 32.1
5
10
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 29.8
33
2
13
14
1
1
0
6
2
3
11
5-9
56%
4-6
0-0
67%
57%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.7
24
23
9
3
2
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 33.1
21
21
5
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
51%
1-1
100%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.9
16
23
2
8
2
0
1
1
2
3
5
0-0
-
1-2
4-8
50%
52%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 31.6
13
2
6
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-4
0-0
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 22.3
6
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 24.7
3
0
0-1
53%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.2
3
0
1-1
56%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.4
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 28.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.