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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 22, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Rockets30%106107
3Thunder70%113111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 26.6
40.4
35.7
24
58%
7
16
4
2
0
5
0
7
8-8
100%
5-9
5-11
56%
48%
2-8
25%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 30.7
40.2
33.1
13
36%
8
4
3
2
0
1
4
4
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
47%
3-12
25%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.3
38.0
31.0
16
86%
13
2
0
1
1
1
2
11
2-3
67%
7-8
5-8
88%
58%
0-0
-
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.7
33.4
32.6
16
67%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
4-8
50%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25.5
21.2
18.9
11
56%
5
1
0
0
0
3
3
2
2-2
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
52%
1-2
50%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 30.0
20.8
14.7
3
22%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
1-4
1-3
25%
48%
0-2
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 38.5
18.5
19.5
8
67%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
2-3
67%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.2
15.9
22.6
11
46%
4
1
0
1
1
3
2
2
0-0
-
4-11
5-10
36%
48%
1-1
100%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 21.8
9.8
12.6
5
64%
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
55%
0-0
-
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.1
1.7
6.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-1
0%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 22.2
6.0
0
1-1
53%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 30.3
5.4
0
1-1
45%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 24.2
4.8
0
1-1
51%
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.3
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.4
36.9
32.0
21
49%
12
15
1
2
0
4
3
9
7-8
88%
7-11
6-11
64%
50%
0-7
0%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.5
36.6
33.1
23
51%
7
4
0
1
0
4
2
5
6-8
75%
7-14
7-12
50%
57%
1-5
20%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.5
28.8
25.3
15
45%
9
0
1
0
3
2
2
7
2-4
50%
5-11
4-7
45%
55%
1-4
25%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.7
26.4
23.7
8
75%
3
0
2
1
2
1
3
0
2-3
67%
3-4
4-6
75%
60%
0-0
-
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.3
20.1
22.4
4
67%
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
60%
0-1
0%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.3
25.1
19.8
17
77%
4
1
2
1
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
46%
3-6
50%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 32.5
23.7
25.6
0
0%
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-4
0%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 23.8
21.5
22.8
10
75%
10
0
1
0
0
0
1
9
4-6
67%
3-4
6-10
75%
56%
0-0
-
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.6
11.1
11.5
5
42%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
1-4
25%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.5
9.8
7.5
8
67%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 35.4
9.2
0
1-2
51%
Josh Huestis
G · 6'7" 230 · 24.3
4.2
0
0-1
51%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 38.5
1.9
0
0-0
46%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.9
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.