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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 24, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Cavaliers74%10995
28Nets26%101104
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.0
36
32
13
5
4
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
5-14
6-11
36%
51%
1-8
13%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 31.2
35
32
30
6
5
1
1
0
4
1
5
3-4
75%
12-14
8-14
86%
56%
1-2
50%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 27.5
33
23
11
12
3
0
1
1
2
3
9
1-2
50%
5-9
2-5
56%
50%
0-5
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.5
32
30
8
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
2-8
25%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 29.7
20
18
7
4
0
1
0
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
56%
0-0
-
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 25.0
26
26
6
4
3
0
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
56%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 25.7
16
20
3
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
1-3
33%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.5
16
21
3
2
4
0
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 32.9
14
17
5
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
1-6
17%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 35.8
10
13
6
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
2-3
67%
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 25.0
0
5
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
1-1
100%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.5
6
0
0-0
41%
Sasha Kaun
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.9
3
0
0-0
55%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 28.0
32
30
22
7
5
1
1
0
1
2
5
6-8
75%
8-15
7-13
53%
52%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.8
31
31
8
6
2
2
1
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
4-9
6-12
44%
51%
0-0
-
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.5
31
21
16
3
7
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
6-9
2-5
67%
48%
1-1
100%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.9
26
29
12
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
3-6
33%
51%
3-8
38%
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 22.4
18
17
3
4
2
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Sean Kilpatrick
G · 6'4" 212 · 26.2
22
23
10
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
48%
0-6
0%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.2
17
25
5
6
6
0
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.1
17
5
5
6
1
2
0
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
48%
1-2
50%
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 21.2
17
15
10
7
2
3
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
5-8
1-3
63%
49%
0-0
-
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 26.0
16
11
4
2
1
0
0
3
1
0
2
2-3
67%
1-5
2-4
20%
47%
0-0
-
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.2
13
13
9
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
1-1
100%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.3
16
0
1-3
45%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 25.0
15
1
2-4
45%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.4
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.