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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 25, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Hornets51%105105
17Pistons49%104112
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 25.9
29.9
33.7
29
72%
2
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
5-5
100%
3-9
4-9
33%
45%
6-9
67%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.5
27.6
28.5
8
67%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 27.3
26.5
35.4
10
40%
7
7
1
1
0
2
0
7
1-1
100%
3-9
4-7
33%
50%
1-3
33%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 29.8
22.1
19.2
7
48%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 23.5
20.7
24.5
8
80%
6
0
0
1
1
0
3
3
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
50%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.6
23.1
26.0
4
18%
3
3
0
1
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-8
3-7
25%
46%
0-3
0%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.8
22.1
10.2
11
64%
5
1
3
0
0
0
0
5
3-6
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
51%
2-3
67%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 31.2
19.6
21.5
8
33%
7
1
1
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
4-12
5-9
33%
50%
0-0
-
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 23.0
16.6
22.5
3
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 27.9
9.3
11.8
5
42%
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
46%
1-1
100%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.7
9.3
6.6
4
37%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 30.4
7.7
2.5
5
66%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
3-4
75%
1-2
0-0
50%
45%
0-0
-
Jorge Gutierrez
G · 6'3" 189 · 27.2
5.4
1.6
3
80%
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
0-0
100%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 22.5
Aaron Harrison
G · 6'6" 210 · 21.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.1
36.6
35.7
21
71%
7
4
2
1
0
2
2
5
3-4
75%
6-9
4-9
67%
49%
2-4
50%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.6
35.4
33.1
20
65%
7
0
0
1
0
3
2
5
1-3
33%
5-7
3-7
71%
48%
3-7
43%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 22.6
29.2
31.3
18
60%
14
0
0
1
3
0
5
9
0-2
0%
9-14
7-12
64%
54%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 25.9
28.6
28.4
17
40%
6
7
0
1
0
4
1
5
5-5
100%
6-14
5-9
43%
49%
0-5
0%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.7
27.6
30.9
7
38%
7
5
1
1
1
0
1
6
5-5
100%
1-3
4-9
33%
52%
0-4
0%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 19.8
22.0
23.3
2
25%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.8
20.4
13.9
11
61%
8
0
0
0
1
1
1
7
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
51%
3-7
43%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 36.1
19.4
17.5
0
0%
1
5
1
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.3
18.8
15.0
16
72%
8
0
0
0
0
2
3
5
6-7
86%
5-8
3-5
63%
53%
0-0
-
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25.0
2.0
8.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
13.5
0
1-3
47%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.0
3.4
0
0-1
45%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 33.6
1.7
0
0-0
52%
Lorenzo Brown
G · 6'5" 189 · 25.6
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.