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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 25, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Magic34%9997
15Heat66%104108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 21.1
36.7
18.1
8
36%
3
1
2
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-9
1-3
44%
49%
0-2
0%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.4
36.1
31.1
20
49%
7
2
0
1
0
2
2
5
7-8
88%
5-14
3-7
36%
49%
1-3
33%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.5
34.7
25.4
4
29%
6
2
0
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
51%
0-2
0%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 22.1
34.1
24.4
14
65%
7
7
0
1
0
4
4
3
2-4
50%
6-9
3-7
67%
45%
0-0
-
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 26.6
18.0
16.2
10
54%
6
1
1
0
0
1
4
2
4-5
80%
3-7
2-3
43%
51%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.9
19.2
8.7
3
75%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
1-2
50%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.3
17.7
10.9
19
76%
6
1
0
0
0
2
0
6
1-1
100%
6-7
1-3
86%
48%
2-5
40%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 26.5
16.6
18.3
8
43%
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-5
40%
0-3
1-3
0%
42%
2-4
50%
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.5
13.5
7.1
0
0%
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30.1
11.4
20.4
8
37%
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-10
4-9
30%
48%
0-0
-
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.7
2.0
3.7
3
65%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-3
33%
1-1
0-1
100%
40%
0-0
-
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.9
37.6
2
6-12
47%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.9
20.3
1
2-5
46%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.9
35.7
29.0
22
68%
0
8
4
1
0
5
0
0
3-7
43%
8-10
5-9
80%
54%
1-3
33%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.9
34.6
19.3
10
36%
13
5
1
1
1
0
5
8
2-2
100%
4-10
2-4
40%
50%
0-3
0%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 34.7
26.3
30.8
4
33%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
0-1
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.2
25.4
26.7
11
44%
3
4
1
1
1
0
0
3
7-8
88%
2-8
7-14
25%
50%
0-1
0%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.4
16.1
14.3
13
78%
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
3
1-3
33%
6-7
2-4
86%
55%
0-0
-
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.0
35.4
29.4
5
30%
8
3
1
1
0
2
3
5
3-5
60%
1-5
3-6
20%
52%
0-1
0%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.5
33.0
28.2
14
74%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
49%
3-5
60%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.8
29.3
29.3
26
72%
12
0
1
1
5
1
2
10
6-7
86%
10-15
6-10
67%
61%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.2
2.0
10.6
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.1
1.2
14.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
52%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.8
1.2
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23.9
8.0
0
1-2
51%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.