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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 25, 2016
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Grizzlies
104
2Spurs
110
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.7
37
9
13
7
2
1
0
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
5-8
1-1
63%
56%
1-2
50%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 36.0
35
28
14
6
3
1
1
1
4
2
4
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
47%
2-5
40%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 25.8
25
24
20
2
3
0
1
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
10-17
4-8
59%
46%
0-1
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 34.2
24
29
9
2
1
1
2
1
0
1
1
2-4
50%
2-5
4-8
40%
46%
1-1
100%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 29.3
23
22
11
2
5
3
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
40%
1-2
50%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 25.6
28
24
17
1
3
3
1
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
7-13
4-8
54%
46%
1-2
50%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.8
21
22
7
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
41%
1-3
33%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 21.8
16
13
3
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
42%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 39.2
13
16
10
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
4-4
1-3
100%
40%
0-2
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 31.5
12
14
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
57%
0-0
-
Xavier Munford
G · 6'4" 173 · 23.8
7
9
0
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
38%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.7
28
1
5-12
45%
PJ Hairston
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.2
14
0
1-2
40%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 31.2
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.5
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 21.7
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 33.1
34
12
13
3
2
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-5
1-3
20%
45%
3-8
38%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.9
33
27
14
3
5
1
1
1
5
0
3
4-4
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
52%
0-1
0%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.7
33
29
32
12
1
2
1
3
1
5
7
8-9
89%
12-16
7-13
75%
51%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.9
31
22
12
8
7
1
1
0
1
2
6
0-1
0%
6-8
3-6
75%
52%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.5
24
15
6
3
0
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
50%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.7
24
17
13
0
5
1
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
52%
3-4
75%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.6
21
13
8
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
53%
0-0
-
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.5
20
11
8
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-5
1-2
40%
53%
1-2
50%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 40.0
16
5
4
0
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
53%
0-1
0%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.6
2
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
59%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 36.0
2
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-1
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.8
24
1
1-2
48%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.6
18
1
2-3
50%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.9
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.