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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 26, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Bulls57%10589
24Magic43%103111
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 26.5
30
34
12
5
1
2
2
1
1
0
5
2-4
50%
5-9
6-12
56%
49%
0-1
0%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.5
29
32
9
3
2
0
1
0
4
2
1
0-2
0%
3-10
7-14
30%
48%
1-4
25%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.8
26
25
16
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
8-9
4-7
89%
52%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 35.7
22
19
7
5
8
0
0
1
1
1
4
1-2
50%
3-5
3-7
60%
49%
0-1
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 35.5
22
26
10
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
47%
1-2
50%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 24.2
21
20
12
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
49%
2-2
100%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 25.1
20
26
4
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
47%
1-7
14%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 21.1
19
18
4
7
0
0
0
0
0
3
4
2-2
100%
1-7
3-6
14%
48%
0-1
0%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 27.0
18
15
4
1
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
0-3
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 31.2
18
16
6
0
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
44%
0-1
0%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 23.7
9
12
2
7
0
0
0
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 24.4
6
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
1-2
50%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 27.1
8
0
1-2
50%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.1
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 22.1
30
28
15
3
10
0
1
2
3
1
2
1-1
100%
7-9
4-8
78%
46%
0-0
-
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.5
27
29
9
5
6
2
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-6
4-7
50%
53%
1-3
33%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.4
26
32
12
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
5-7
4-8
71%
50%
0-2
0%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 26.6
22
17
18
13
2
0
0
0
2
4
9
0-0
-
9-14
2-4
64%
52%
0-0
-
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 21.1
22
25
5
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
1-1
100%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.9
28
13
6
5
3
0
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30.1
24
17
14
6
3
0
0
2
2
1
5
0-0
-
7-11
4-8
64%
48%
0-1
0%
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.5
22
10
8
7
0
0
0
0
0
1
6
1-1
100%
2-4
1-1
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.3
21
14
14
6
0
0
0
1
0
2
4
3-5
60%
4-9
2-4
44%
50%
1-4
25%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 26.5
13
18
7
3
5
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
1-1
100%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.7
5
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
1-3
33%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.9
26
1
4-8
48%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.9
14
0
2-3
47%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.