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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 26, 2016
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Hornets56%104115
25Bucks44%10191
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 27.3
35
31
25
7
8
1
1
0
0
1
6
4-4
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
50%
5-9
56%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.5
35
28
12
4
5
0
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
50%
2-4
50%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 29.8
34
21
21
8
1
0
1
3
1
1
7
1-2
50%
4-5
2-4
80%
50%
4-7
57%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 25.9
30
32
18
0
6
0
1
0
2
0
0
5-5
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
46%
3-6
50%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 23.5
20
23
4
3
1
0
1
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.6
25
24
9
4
4
5
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
3-3
3-7
100%
47%
1-2
50%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 31.2
22
21
15
6
1
0
1
0
0
1
5
7-10
70%
4-8
5-9
50%
50%
0-0
-
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 23.0
17
20
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.8
8
16
0
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 27.9
6
11
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.7
3
8
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
45%
1-1
100%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 30.4
3
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jorge Gutierrez
G · 6'3" 189 · 27.2
3
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 22.5
Aaron Harrison
G · 6'6" 210 · 21.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.0
38
32
15
7
4
1
1
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
5-11
6-12
45%
51%
1-2
50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 21.3
26
36
8
3
1
2
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
3-7
7-13
43%
52%
0-2
0%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 24.6
24
34
13
1
5
0
2
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
5-7
4-9
71%
47%
1-3
33%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 25.8
23
25
12
6
1
0
1
0
0
2
4
6-8
75%
3-7
5-9
43%
52%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.6
22
31
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
45%
0-1
0%
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 21.6
28
15
9
4
12
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
45%
1-4
25%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 25.2
25
21
19
8
0
1
0
3
0
4
4
3-3
100%
8-10
3-6
80%
56%
0-0
-
Rashad Vaughn
G · 6'6" 202 · 19.6
22
9
5
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-5
0-1
20%
39%
1-2
50%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.6
19
19
6
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
56%
0-0
-
Damien Inglis
F · 6'8" 246 · 20.9
6
7
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 22.8
6
4
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
43%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 29.2
16
0
1-3
45%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.4
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 32.8
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.