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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 27, 2016
6:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Mavericks49%107111
22Kings51%108133
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 31.8
35
28
15
4
5
2
1
0
2
0
4
4-4
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
46%
1-2
50%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.5
35
33
12
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
49%
2-5
40%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 37.8
27
21
14
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-11
4-7
36%
50%
2-4
50%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.8
27
27
14
3
3
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
7-12
4-8
58%
47%
0-2
0%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 29.8
7
18
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-2
0%
1-1
2-4
100%
55%
0-0
-
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 22.4
21
15
11
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
5-8
1-2
63%
48%
0-5
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 33.1
21
13
11
3
4
3
1
0
0
0
3
3-4
75%
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
2-4
50%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 24.7
16
12
11
6
2
0
0
1
0
3
3
5-7
71%
3-4
2-3
75%
52%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.9
14
19
12
6
2
0
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
5-7
4-7
71%
51%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 32.1
14
15
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.2
13
3
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
56%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 31.6
9
15
5
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
49%
1-2
50%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.8
21
1
2-5
45%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.4
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 28.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 30.1
28
31
11
4
11
2
2
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
2-4
3-7
50%
49%
2-3
67%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.6
28
26
20
12
5
2
1
0
3
2
10
6-10
60%
7-11
6-12
64%
49%
0-1
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.6
26
30
9
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
4-7
4-9
57%
50%
0-3
0%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.6
23
14
14
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
2-4
50%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.5
17
18
7
3
0
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
56%
1-1
100%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.6
28
20
21
7
2
0
1
0
2
2
5
5-5
100%
8-11
3-5
73%
57%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.6
27
28
17
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
6-9
4-7
67%
52%
1-2
50%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.8
23
25
10
3
4
1
1
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
3-4
3-5
75%
52%
1-1
100%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 23.1
20
5
14
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
3-4
1-1
75%
50%
2-5
40%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.1
15
15
10
6
0
0
0
2
0
1
5
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
53%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 27.0
5
14
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.0
17
0
2-4
48%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 36.0
6
0
0-1
45%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 24.3
Duje Dukan
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.