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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 28, 2016
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Mavericks49%10597
20Nuggets51%10688
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.5
34
33
14
3
2
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
49%
4-10
40%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 37.8
33
24
10
4
0
4
0
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
4-14
4-8
29%
50%
0-3
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 31.8
32
30
11
5
5
1
1
0
1
2
3
4-4
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 24.7
30
14
16
7
0
2
0
1
0
2
5
0-0
-
8-13
2-4
62%
52%
0-0
-
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 22.4
24
18
11
4
2
1
1
2
0
2
2
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
49%
1-3
33%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 32.1
29
14
5
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
3-3
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
47%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 33.1
29
17
12
3
3
3
1
1
0
1
2
4-4
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
2-8
25%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.8
26
27
18
1
11
2
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
4-7
4-8
57%
47%
3-6
50%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.9
4
17
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
52%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.8
15
0
2-3
45%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 29.8
13
0
2-3
55%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 31.6
13
0
1-3
49%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.2
8
0
2-3
55%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 28.4
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.1
35
25
16
6
7
1
1
0
4
0
6
5-6
83%
4-8
4-9
50%
41%
1-3
33%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.5
30
29
13
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
3-5
4-7
60%
54%
2-4
50%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.1
24
22
2
8
2
2
1
0
3
0
8
0-0
-
1-5
4-7
20%
54%
0-2
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.4
22
7
9
11
0
0
0
2
4
4
7
3-4
75%
3-7
2-3
43%
56%
0-0
-
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 23.0
18
16
2
3
2
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.2
32
27
23
8
2
0
1
0
1
0
8
4-4
100%
2-5
4-7
40%
50%
5-9
56%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.0
26
24
9
1
1
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
47%
1-3
33%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.5
23
18
8
3
2
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-5
3-5
80%
55%
0-2
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 28.4
17
28
4
3
3
0
1
0
3
1
2
4-4
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
44%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.1
7
7
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Axel Toupane
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.7
7
20
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.1
3
0
0-0
44%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.6
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.9
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.