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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 28, 2016
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Kings32%10693
14Trail Blazers68%113105
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.6
34
18
21
4
1
2
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
6-11
1-3
55%
45%
3-6
50%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.6
32
27
10
2
7
3
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
5-13
3-7
38%
51%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.1
32
15
10
7
1
2
0
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
5-12
2-5
42%
52%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.8
30
24
18
6
5
0
1
0
2
0
6
4-8
50%
4-11
3-5
36%
51%
2-3
67%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.5
28
18
10
4
1
1
0
1
1
1
3
1-1
100%
3-6
2-3
50%
54%
1-2
50%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.6
33
23
13
14
2
1
1
0
1
6
8
1-2
50%
6-12
4-6
50%
56%
0-0
-
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 23.1
26
12
3
4
1
1
0
0
3
1
3
3-4
75%
0-5
1-2
0%
49%
0-2
0%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 27.0
22
11
8
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 36.0
3
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 30.1
30
1
3-6
47%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.6
28
1
4-8
48%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.6
27
1
6-13
48%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.0
12
0
1-3
47%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 24.3
Duje Dukan
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.7
29
34
13
1
9
1
1
1
4
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
6-11
25%
49%
3-5
60%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
24
34
16
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-7
6-12
14%
49%
4-6
67%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.5
24
29
14
8
2
1
1
1
2
1
7
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
2-6
33%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.9
23
25
12
3
2
0
1
1
1
1
2
1-1
100%
4-4
3-5
100%
58%
1-3
33%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 26.1
20
24
4
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
56%
0-0
-
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 20.6
24
10
5
6
1
0
0
2
2
0
6
1-2
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.8
23
22
8
9
0
0
1
3
2
3
6
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
60%
0-0
-
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.0
21
25
21
4
1
1
1
1
1
0
4
2-3
67%
5-6
2-4
83%
52%
3-4
75%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 28.3
21
22
11
4
0
1
1
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
1-2
50%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 30.3
17
6
0
1
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.2
5
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Luis Montero
· 6'7" 185 · 23.0
5
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Cliff Alexander
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.4
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 33.9
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.