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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 28, 2016
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Celtics40%10490
5Clippers60%107114
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 27.4
32.3
31.7
4
25%
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-7
5-10
29%
47%
0-1
0%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.3
30.5
32.9
13
57%
1
2
3
1
1
3
0
1
0-1
0%
2-7
4-8
29%
49%
3-4
75%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 27.1
27.5
31.7
24
61%
0
2
0
1
1
2
0
0
12-13
92%
3-9
5-11
33%
47%
2-5
40%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 24.1
20.3
23.9
9
38%
11
2
0
1
0
1
5
6
1-2
50%
4-11
4-9
36%
48%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 28.9
19.1
26.0
3
52%
5
1
1
1
1
2
1
4
1-2
50%
1-2
3-6
50%
59%
0-0
-
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.1
24.1
28.1
13
52%
5
4
1
1
0
3
2
3
1-1
100%
6-8
2-5
75%
44%
0-4
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 24.9
22.9
21.3
8
44%
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-6
3-5
17%
51%
2-3
67%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.0
20.5
13.3
2
25%
5
1
0
0
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
40%
0-1
0%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.2
19.0
6.6
8
40%
4
0
0
0
0
2
3
1
2-2
100%
3-9
1-3
33%
50%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 29.1
10.4
20.3
4
42%
5
0
1
1
1
0
3
2
4-4
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 21.7
6.7
2.6
2
17%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-2
0%
1-5
0-1
20%
46%
0-0
-
RJ Hunter
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.4
3.9
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
46%
0-0
-
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 20.6
2.6
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.7
28.8
31.3
15
68%
13
2
1
1
3
1
3
10
5-7
71%
5-8
5-7
63%
68%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.9
26.3
29.0
13
44%
4
14
3
2
0
4
0
4
2-2
100%
4-11
4-9
36%
51%
1-3
33%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 31.8
17.9
25.1
9
56%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.5
16.7
15.7
2
100%
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 38.5
11.6
15.7
8
67%
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-4
1-2
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.7
29.8
22.6
16
74%
2
2
2
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
48%
2-2
100%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 36.0
28.9
25.9
15
60%
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
1-2
3-8
50%
44%
4-10
40%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.6
26.3
25.2
10
42%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
3-10
3-6
30%
46%
1-1
100%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.7
16.3
21.5
11
70%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
47%
1-3
33%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 27.4
13.8
14.4
6
100%
7
1
0
1
2
2
4
3
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 38.9
13.3
9.0
3
75%
5
3
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
1-2
50%
CJ Wilcox
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.2
5.2
2.9
2
100%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 28.9
5.2
2.5
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
55%
0-0
-
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 27.0
Branden Dawson
F · 6'6" 225 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.