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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with player e-skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 29, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Rockets37%105106
3Cavaliers63%109100
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 26.6
44
39
27
6
8
1
2
0
4
2
4
8-10
80%
5-8
6-12
63%
48%
3-8
38%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 30.7
40
36
15
6
3
1
2
0
0
2
4
3-4
75%
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
2-5
40%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.7
31
30
10
7
6
2
1
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
45%
2-4
50%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.3
31
29
11
11
3
0
1
2
2
0
11
7-22
32%
2-3
4-7
67%
58%
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25.5
10
17
6
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
51%
0-2
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.2
27
22
17
8
2
0
1
1
1
1
7
1-2
50%
8-14
5-9
57%
49%
0-1
0%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 21.9
17
16
9
10
1
2
1
1
1
4
6
1-2
50%
4-7
2-4
57%
55%
0-0
-
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.1
17
8
3
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 30.1
14
20
5
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 38.5
9
16
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-2
50%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 30.3
5
0
1-1
45%
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.3
5
0
1-1
50%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 24.2
4
0
1-1
51%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 22.2
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.0
37
33
31
2
8
1
1
1
5
0
2
8-9
89%
4-12
6-12
33%
51%
5-11
45%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 25.8
35
20
11
3
2
1
1
2
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-8
1-2
25%
46%
2-6
33%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.6
35
29
4
3
2
0
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-3
0%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 27.6
30
28
13
11
0
0
1
0
1
1
10
1-2
50%
3-8
3-7
38%
50%
2-6
33%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 29.7
9
20
2
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
57%
0-0
-
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 25.0
39
25
16
10
0
1
0
1
3
5
5
8-9
89%
4-8
3-5
50%
57%
0-0
-
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.6
20
23
4
2
8
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
42%
0-3
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 35.8
12
12
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
1-1
100%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 32.9
10
15
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-3
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.5
8
4
10
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
0-0
0-0
-
43%
2-5
40%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.3
6
8
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
2-2
100%
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 25.0
3
0
0-1
51%
Sasha Kaun
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.9
2
0
0-0
57%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 31.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use e-skills to estimate a player's true skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about E-Skills here.