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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 30, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Nuggets
109
19Grizzlies
105
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.1
31
28
17
2
5
0
1
1
5
0
2
2-2
100%
3-8
4-9
38%
41%
3-7
43%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.1
29
22
9
14
1
0
1
1
1
5
9
0-0
-
3-5
4-7
60%
53%
1-1
100%
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 23.0
27
16
12
2
0
1
0
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
4-4
2-3
100%
50%
1-2
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.4
24
13
6
5
2
0
0
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
2-7
3-5
29%
55%
0-0
-
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.5
20
29
5
1
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
53%
1-5
20%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.2
33
28
25
6
3
0
1
1
1
0
6
9-12
75%
2-5
4-7
40%
49%
4-7
57%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 28.4
23
24
11
2
5
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
43%
1-3
33%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.0
23
24
12
7
2
1
1
2
0
2
5
2-2
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
47%
2-3
67%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.5
17
19
12
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
54%
0-0
-
Axel Toupane
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.7
14
16
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.1
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.1
8
0
1-1
46%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.9
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.6
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 36.1
40
29
6
11
3
2
1
0
1
4
7
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
51%
1-8
13%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.7
34
13
26
6
2
1
0
0
3
3
3
5-6
83%
9-19
3-6
47%
50%
1-1
100%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 29.3
25
23
14
0
5
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
45%
2-4
50%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 34.2
22
22
7
1
1
1
2
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
3-7
3-6
43%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.7
17
21
4
6
0
0
1
2
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
61%
0-0
-
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 25.8
26
25
13
12
3
0
1
1
2
9
3
1-2
50%
6-16
4-9
38%
52%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 25.6
26
23
12
3
1
0
1
1
1
2
1
4-7
57%
4-9
4-8
44%
51%
0-1
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 39.2
23
18
9
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
4-5
80%
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Xavier Munford
G · 6'4" 173 · 23.8
12
8
9
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-1
0%
3-6
1-1
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.8
7
23
1
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
3-6
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 31.5
5
17
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
62%
0-0
-
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 21.9
3
17
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
51%
0-0
-
PJ Hairston
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.3
8
0
1-1
45%
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 21.7
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.5
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.5
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 31.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.