Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Heat	69%	107	100	97.1	103	99.2
	29	Lakers	31%	101	102	99.0	103	88.0

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 31	41.1	22	65%	11	2	1	3	0	1	5	6	2-4	50%	7-11	64%	2-4	50%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 34	38.6	26	59%	10	5	0	2	4	2	2	8	2-2	100%	12-21	57%	0-0	-
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 30	37.9	11	39%	3	9	2	0	4	4	0	3	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-5	20%
Joe Johnson F · 6'7" 240 · 35	36.4	10	50%	4	5	1	0	3	2	0	4	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	0-4	0%
Amar'e Stoudemire C · 6'10" 245 · 33	14.2	4	40%	3	0	0	1	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 27	38.8	20	71%	17	0	0	7	3	5	5	12	6-12	50%	7-9	78%	0-0	-
Josh Richardson F · 6'6" 200 · 23	29.4	1	6%	3	3	1	0	1	2	1	2	1-2	50%	0-4	0%	0-4	0%
Justise Winslow F · 6'7" 225 · 20	28.6	6	43%	4	2	1	0	2	4	0	4	2-4	50%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Gerald Green G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 24	\| DND - Left shoulder surgery.
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 36	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	100	49%	55	26	6	13	17	0	14	41	15-26	58%	38-69	55%	3-17	18%

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14 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 31	41.1	22	65%	11	2	1	3	0	1	5	6	2-4	50%	7-11	64%	2-4	50%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 34	38.6	26	59%	10	5	0	2	4	2	2	8	2-2	100%	12-21	57%	0-0	-
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 30	37.9	11	39%	3	9	2	0	4	4	0	3	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-5	20%
Joe Johnson F · 6'7" 240 · 35	36.4	10	50%	4	5	1	0	3	2	0	4	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	0-4	0%
Amar'e Stoudemire C · 6'10" 245 · 33	14.2	4	40%	3	0	0	1	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 27	38.8	20	71%	17	0	0	7	3	5	5	12	6-12	50%	7-9	78%	0-0	-
Josh Richardson F · 6'6" 200 · 23	29.4	1	6%	3	3	1	0	1	2	1	2	1-2	50%	0-4	0%	0-4	0%
Justise Winslow F · 6'7" 225 · 20	28.6	6	43%	4	2	1	0	2	4	0	4	2-4	50%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Gerald Green G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 24	\| DND - Left shoulder surgery.
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 36	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	100	49%	55	26	6	13	17	0	14	41	15-26	58%	38-69	55%	3-17	18%

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29 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Julius Randle F · 6'9" 250 · 21	38.9	13	46%	14	3	1	0	1	5	2	12	5-6	83%	4-11	36%	0-0	-
Jordan Clarkson G · 6'5" 194 · 24	36.0	26	57%	6	1	1	0	0	0	2	4	6-8	75%	7-13	54%	2-6	33%
D'Angelo Russell G · 6'3" 193 · 20	35.3	16	40%	4	1	2	0	3	4	2	2	2-3	67%	4-14	29%	2-5	40%
Roy Hibbert C · 7'2" 270 · 29	32.8	12	55%	9	1	2	3	2	3	6	3	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Kobe Bryant F · 6'6" 212 · 38	8.7	2	14%	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-2	0%

Larry Nance Jr. F-C · 6'6" 245 · 23	31.0	4	29%	5	2	1	2	0	3	3	2	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Brandon Bass F · 6'8" 250 · 31	26.1	8	50%	3	0	0	0	0	2	3	0	2-3	67%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Ryan Kelly F · 6'11" 230 · 25	21.5	4	33%	5	2	0	0	0	2	0	5	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Marcelo Huertas G · 6'3" 200 · 33	17.8	6	33%	0	4	1	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	3-9	33%	0-0	-
Lou Williams G · 6'1" 175 · 29	16.9	11	55%	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	5-7	71%	0-0	-	2-7	29%
Tarik Black F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Robert Sacre C · 7'0" 270 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Nick Young G-F · 6'7" 210 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Metta World Peace #37 · F · 6'7" 260 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Anthony Brown #3 · F · 6'7" 224 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	102	43%	49	14	9	5	9	0	19	30	22-29	76%	31-82	38%	6-20	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	LAL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIA

0.98 49.0%

LAL

0.86 43.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

24

38

63%

LAL

16

36

44%

Midrange

MIA

14

31

45%

LAL

15

46

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

3

4.5

17

18%

26%

LAL

6

9.0

20

30%

45%

Free Throws

MIA

15

26

58%

LAL

22

29

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Wade	26	59%	13.0 / 22
L. Deng	22	65%	11.0 / 17
H. Whiteside	20	71%	10.0 / 14
G. Dragic	11	39%	5.5 / 14
J. Johnson	10	50%	5.0 / 10
J. Winslow	6	43%	3.0 / 7
A. Stoudemire	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Richardson	1	6%	0.5 / 9

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Clarkson	26	57%	13.0 / 23
D. Russell	16	40%	8.0 / 20
J. Randle	13	46%	6.5 / 14
R. Hibbert	12	55%	6.0 / 11
L. Williams	11	55%	5.5 / 10
B. Bass	8	50%	4.0 / 8
M. Huertas	6	33%	3.0 / 9
L. Nance	4	29%	2.0 / 7
R. Kelly	4	33%	2.0 / 6
K. Bryant	2	14%	1.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 106.0 29 101.8	MIA 97.1 LAL 99.0 +1.9
Pace	25 93.7 16 95.4	MIA 99.2 +11.2 LAL 88.0
Avg. Poss. Time	4 16.0 12 15.1	MIA 14.5 −1.8 LAL 16.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 50.8% 30 46.0%	MIA 49.4% +10.2% LAL 39.2%
TO %	15 14.0% 11 13.6%	MIA 15.6% LAL 8.0% −7.6%
ORB %	16 23.9% 22 23.1%	MIA 31.8% +0.1% LAL 31.7%
FTrt	11 28.2 9 29.2	MIA 30.2 +1.8 LAL 28.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 54.3% 28 51.3%	MIA 63.4% +25.6% LAL 37.8%
STL %	26 7.2% 23 7.5%	MIA 5.8% LAL 8.7% +2.9%
BLK %	1 10.3% 25 6.7%	MIA 15.9% +8.7% LAL 7.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 52.8% 30 49.7%	MIA 49.0% +5.8% LAL 43.2%
Rim FG%	2 62.3% 28 54.3%	MIA 63.2% +18.8% LAL 44.4%
Mid FG%	14 40.5% 27 37.8%	MIA 45.2% +12.6% LAL 32.6%
3P %	27 33.6% 30 31.7%	MIA 17.6% LAL 30.0% +12.4%
FT %	23 74.4% 11 78.1%	MIA 57.7% LAL 75.9% +18.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 37.0% 26 32.5%	MIA 44.2% +8.9% LAL 35.3%
Mid Att. %	26 40.9% 22 38.5%	MIA 36.0% −9.1% LAL 45.1%
3P Att. %	27 22.1% 14 29.0%	MIA 19.8% +0.2% LAL 19.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Game Totals	MIA	LAL
Possessions	103	103
Possession Minutes	24.9	28.1
Points	100	102
Rebounds	55	49
Assists	26	14
Steals	6	9
Blocks	13	5
Turnovers (Team)	17 (1)	9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (2)	19 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	41 (5)	30 (4)
Field Goals	41-86	37-102
At-the-Rim FG	24-38	16-36
Midrange FG	14-31	15-46
2-Point FG	38-69	31-82
3-Point FG	3-17	6-20
Free Throws	15-26	22-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg