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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 31, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Nets
87
3Cavaliers
107
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.5
32
28
13
5
8
2
1
0
4
0
5
3-4
75%
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
2-2
100%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.8
28
21
18
8
0
1
1
0
5
4
4
0-0
-
9-18
4-8
50%
50%
0-0
-
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.0
25
22
14
5
3
0
0
0
4
0
5
3-4
75%
4-7
2-5
57%
49%
1-5
20%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.3
21
14
0
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-5
1-2
0%
43%
0-3
0%
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 26.0
19
15
4
5
1
2
0
0
0
2
3
4-6
67%
0-3
2-5
0%
46%
0-0
-
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.2
24
16
6
5
4
2
1
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
43%
0-3
0%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 25.0
23
15
10
11
1
1
1
0
0
4
7
0-3
0%
5-13
2-4
38%
45%
0-0
-
Sean Kilpatrick
G · 6'4" 212 · 26.2
21
22
4
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
0-4
0%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.2
21
15
11
0
5
1
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
3-6
1-3
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.1
20
15
7
6
1
2
1
1
1
2
4
1-2
50%
3-5
1-3
60%
44%
0-1
0%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 25.9
7
11
0
5
0
0
0
2
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 28.0
27
1
6-12
51%
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 22.4
20
1
1-2
47%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.4
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 21.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 31.2
31
33
24
4
11
2
1
1
6
0
4
8-10
80%
8-11
8-14
73%
58%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.6
25
31
8
3
3
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
2-7
29%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 27.6
25
28
19
10
2
1
1
1
3
3
7
3-4
75%
2-2
3-7
100%
51%
4-8
50%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.0
24
34
10
2
3
1
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-9
6-12
44%
52%
0-5
0%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 29.7
17
15
10
7
0
0
0
2
1
2
5
2-3
67%
4-6
2-4
67%
58%
0-0
-
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 25.1
24
30
4
6
0
2
1
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
58%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 32.9
23
13
13
8
2
0
0
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
50%
3-6
50%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 25.8
20
26
6
8
2
1
1
0
1
0
8
4-5
80%
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.6
17
22
0
0
5
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
43%
0-3
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 35.8
12
12
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
53%
1-3
33%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.3
9
8
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
1-2
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.5
7
6
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
1-2
50%
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 25.0
7
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-0
0%
51%
0-0
-
Sasha Kaun
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.