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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 2, 2016
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Kings41%106115
20Nuggets59%109106
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.6
39
30
14
4
8
0
1
0
3
1
3
6-7
86%
4-12
4-8
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.6
39
24
14
9
3
1
1
2
1
3
6
4-4
100%
5-7
4-7
71%
56%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.6
36
30
25
9
3
0
1
0
0
3
6
10-13
77%
6-14
5-9
43%
49%
1-4
25%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 23.1
31
18
14
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-9
2-3
44%
48%
2-3
67%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.5
17
16
5
6
2
0
0
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-6
2-3
17%
55%
1-2
50%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.1
31
20
13
7
1
1
1
2
0
0
7
1-3
33%
6-10
3-6
60%
53%
0-0
-
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.6
25
24
17
1
5
1
1
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
5-5
2-4
100%
46%
2-5
40%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 27.0
23
14
13
8
4
0
0
0
0
1
7
3-3
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
48%
2-6
33%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 30.1
27
1
3-6
47%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.6
18
1
4-8
48%
Duje Dukan
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.3
5
0
1-1
48%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 36.1
4
0
0-1
43%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 24.3
3
0
0-1
50%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.0
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.5
36
29
19
4
2
0
1
2
0
0
4
3-4
75%
2-4
4-6
50%
55%
4-7
57%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.1
32
24
6
13
5
1
1
2
0
4
9
2-2
100%
2-5
4-7
40%
55%
0-1
0%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.1
29
27
15
3
6
0
1
0
4
1
2
1-2
50%
4-11
4-9
36%
42%
2-6
33%
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 23.0
27
20
9
3
2
1
1
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
52%
1-2
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.4
16
20
8
7
2
0
1
2
0
2
5
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
56%
0-0
-
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.5
24
16
15
6
2
0
0
0
1
1
5
1-2
50%
7-10
3-5
70%
56%
0-2
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.2
21
29
2
1
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-4
4-7
0%
50%
0-5
0%
Axel Toupane
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.7
19
15
14
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
5-6
83%
3-4
1-1
75%
48%
1-2
50%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 28.4
19
25
9
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
45%
1-4
25%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.6
16
22
9
9
2
0
1
1
1
5
4
1-4
25%
4-10
4-9
40%
48%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.0
23
1
3-6
48%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.1
6
0
0-1
47%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.1
2
0
0-0
43%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.6
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.