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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 2, 2016
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Heat
93
14Trail Blazers
110
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.9
34
27
15
2
1
1
1
0
3
2
0
3-4
75%
6-12
4-8
50%
53%
0-2
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 31.0
31
32
14
13
2
3
1
0
2
4
9
3-4
75%
4-9
4-8
44%
48%
1-4
25%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 34.8
28
32
13
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
2-4
50%
4-8
3-6
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.2
26
17
7
3
1
2
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
1-4
25%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.4
11
16
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
0-1
3-5
0%
54%
0-0
-
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.5
30
28
12
1
4
2
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
4-9
2-5
44%
47%
1-1
100%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.0
30
29
0
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
49%
0-0
-
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.8
28
30
20
13
1
1
1
4
3
1
12
8-11
73%
6-14
6-10
43%
60%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.1
17
7
8
3
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
50%
2-4
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.8
5
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.2
20
1
5-10
49%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23.9
8
0
1-2
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.9
32
22
14
4
1
1
1
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
6-6
2-4
100%
57%
0-1
0%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
32
32
24
2
7
4
1
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
3-9
5-11
33%
48%
6-6
100%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.7
29
33
18
2
4
0
1
0
3
0
2
8-10
80%
5-12
5-10
42%
48%
0-2
0%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 26.1
27
23
17
8
5
2
1
1
1
0
8
1-2
50%
8-10
3-6
80%
55%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.5
25
30
8
8
2
1
1
1
2
1
7
2-2
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
49%
2-3
67%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 28.3
28
22
17
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
4-5
80%
5-10
3-6
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.0
26
25
5
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-7
2-4
14%
52%
1-1
100%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.8
17
22
2
11
0
1
1
0
1
5
6
0-0
-
1-2
3-4
50%
59%
0-0
-
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 20.6
11
12
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 30.3
5
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 33.9
4
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.2
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Luis Montero
· 6'7" 185 · 23.0
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.1
Cliff Alexander
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.