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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 3, 2016
6:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Grizzlies
107
22Magic
119
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 36.1
36
30
24
6
1
0
1
1
4
0
6
3-3
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
49%
5-10
50%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.7
32
26
15
7
7
0
1
0
1
2
5
4-6
67%
4-13
6-12
31%
48%
1-2
50%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.7
16
19
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
58%
0-1
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 29.3
14
24
2
0
3
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-3
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 34.2
14
22
10
5
1
0
1
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
5-6
3-6
83%
49%
0-2
0%
Xavier Munford
G · 6'4" 173 · 23.8
34
15
10
2
1
2
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
3-7
1-3
43%
45%
1-1
100%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 25.8
30
26
11
10
3
0
1
1
0
3
7
1-4
25%
5-9
5-9
56%
50%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 39.2
24
19
13
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-1
0%
5-7
1-3
71%
43%
1-2
50%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 25.6
23
25
11
4
3
0
1
1
1
0
4
3-4
75%
4-11
5-9
36%
49%
0-0
-
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 21.9
16
14
7
6
1
0
0
0
1
2
4
5-6
83%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 31.5
1
8
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
61%
0-0
-
Bryce Cotton
G · 6'1" 165 · 23.6
1
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
PJ Hairston
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.3
7
0
0-1
44%
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 21.7
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 31.2
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.5
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.4
39
30
22
2
3
1
1
0
3
1
1
7-7
100%
3-7
4-7
43%
51%
3-8
38%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.9
39
31
22
5
2
3
2
1
0
2
3
4-5
80%
9-14
5-9
64%
49%
0-4
0%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 22.1
31
28
7
2
11
0
1
0
1
2
0
3-3
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
47%
0-1
0%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.5
29
26
14
10
3
1
1
1
0
4
6
3-4
75%
4-8
4-7
50%
54%
1-3
33%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 26.6
13
15
8
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-1
0%
4-4
2-4
100%
55%
0-0
-
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.4
32
25
25
12
3
2
1
1
3
3
9
5-7
71%
10-19
7-13
53%
53%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.3
19
19
10
6
1
1
0
0
0
0
6
1-2
50%
0-1
3-5
0%
53%
3-4
75%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 21.1
18
20
5
0
2
2
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
52%
1-3
33%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 26.5
17
17
6
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
2-3
67%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30.1
3
15
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
50%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.9
7
0
1-2
48%
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.5
6
0
0-1
47%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.7
6
0
0-1
42%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.