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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 5, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Pistons45%10289
17Heat55%103107
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 22.7
29.9
30.1
12
52%
13
0
0
1
0
1
3
10
2-6
33%
5-9
6-12
56%
53%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'8" 226 · 23.7
29.2
34.6
21
86%
7
2
1
1
0
1
1
6
5-5
100%
8-9
5-10
89%
51%
0-1
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 26.0
28.8
30.4
21
49%
2
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
8-8
100%
5-13
5-10
38%
47%
1-5
20%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.6
28.1
35.9
1
6%
4
2
2
1
0
6
1
3
1-2
50%
0-4
4-8
0%
48%
0-3
0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 204 · 23.1
25.0
37.8
2
17%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
48%
0-2
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.8
24.0
9.9
2
25%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-3
0%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 19.9
19.4
17.0
2
11%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-7
1-3
14%
44%
0-2
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 36.1
15.3
15.5
8
139%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
42%
2-2
100%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.0
14.3
3.9
8
67%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.3
14.2
16.9
10
73%
6
0
1
0
0
0
3
3
2-2
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
51%
0-0
-
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25.1
3.9
4.1
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
44%
0-0
-
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.0
3.9
3.6
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 33.7
3.9
1.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.6
Lorenzo Brown
G · 6'5" 189 · 25.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 31.0
34.3
30.7
12
46%
8
5
1
1
0
0
1
7
0-0
-
6-11
4-7
55%
50%
0-2
0%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.9
33.8
29.0
22
73%
5
8
0
1
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
5-11
5-9
45%
54%
4-4
100%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 34.8
28.1
29.9
11
62%
1
5
1
1
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
5-7
3-6
71%
48%
0-1
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.2
24.6
14.9
16
61%
1
2
2
1
0
2
0
1
6-7
86%
5-10
4-7
50%
50%
0-0
-
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.4
14.3
14.0
4
50%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
55%
0-0
-
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.6
35.5
28.1
16
89%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
4-5
80%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.0
29.7
28.3
9
44%
5
2
0
1
0
0
1
4
2-3
67%
2-7
3-6
29%
50%
1-2
50%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.8
28.8
28.9
14
54%
12
0
1
1
4
0
4
8
0-0
-
7-13
6-10
54%
61%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.8
5.0
3.7
2
33%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
47%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.2
3.9
19.8
1
57%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-5
-
47%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.1
2.1
10.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23.9
7.6
0
1-2
51%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.