FinalWin Prob.pScore
1445%102
89
1755%103
107
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
97.89197.5
MIA logo MIA
116.39286.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA89
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0DETDinwiddie Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)89
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIARichardson 17' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)89
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0DETMISS Tolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAMcRoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19DETMISS Hilliard 2' Driving Layup89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31MIAHEAT Rebound89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54DETMISS Hilliard 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08MIAHEAT Rebound89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08MIAGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08MIAMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 289
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11DETGreen STEAL (1 STL)89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25MIAWhiteside Dunk (14 PTS) (Dragic 8 AST)89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50DETBullock 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Dinwiddie 1 AST)89
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 3:03DETPistons Rebound87
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 3:04DETWhiteside BLOCK (4 BLK)87
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05DETDinwiddie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)87
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 3:06DETMISS Dinwiddie 10' Floating Jump Shot87
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13DETAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 3:14MIAMISS Richardson 3' Driving Layup87
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 3:33DETHilliard 18' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)87
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 3:41MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)85
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 4:11DETBaynes 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Blake 3 AST)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26MIAWhiteside 1' Layup (12 PTS)83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:29MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:30MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup83
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 4:50DETHilliard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Tolliver 1 AST)83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:59DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00MIAMISS Deng 1' Driving Reverse Layup80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:12MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:13DETMISS Johnson 1' Tip Layup Shot80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:15DETMISS Johnson 1' Driving Layup80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:33MIAWinslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Deng 5 AST)80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:58DETBlake Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)80
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 5:59DETHilliard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)79
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 6:05MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)76
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 6:16DETBaynes Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)76
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:16DETBaynes Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)75
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:41MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:56DETJohnson 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Blake 2 AST)74
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 7:09MIAWhiteside Dunk (10 PTS) (Dragic 7 AST)72
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 7:26DETTolliver 7' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)72
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 7:37DETBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 7:38MIAMISS Deng 18' Step Back Jump Shot70
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 7:49MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)70
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 7:50DETMISS Baynes 6' Jump Bank Shot70
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 8:08MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Deng 4 AST)70
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 8:34DETWhiteside STEAL (1 STL)70
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 8:51MIADragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)70
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 9:11DETBaynes 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hilliard 1 AST)70
1.7%
86
98.3%
Q4 - 9:34MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)68
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q4 - 9:47DETBlake 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)68
1.6%
84
98.4%
Q4 - 9:59DETHilliard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 10:00MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 10:18DETMarc Morris Foul Turnover (P5.T10)65
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 10:24DETBlake Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)65
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q4 - 10:38MIADeng 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)64
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 10:52DETMarc Morris Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)64
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q4 - 10:52DETMISS Marc Morris Free Throw 1 of 263
1.2%
82
98.8%
Q4 - 10:56DETHilliard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q4 - 10:57MIAMISS Winslow 3PT Jump Shot63
1.2%
82
98.8%
Q4 - 11:22MIAHEAT Rebound63
1.2%
82
98.8%
Q4 - 11:23DETMISS Marc Morris 2' Layup63
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q4 - 11:24DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q4 - 11:25DETMISS Baynes 10' Turnaround Jump Shot63
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q4 - 11:37DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)63
1.5%
82
98.5%
Q4 - 11:38DETMISS Hilliard 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q4 - 11:47DETBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
1.5%
82
98.5%
Q4 - 11:48MIAMISS Winslow 9' Hook Shot63
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET63
1.2%
82
98.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)63
1.5%
82
98.5%
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)63
2.8%
79
97.2%
Q3 - 0:09.0DETWhiteside BLOCK (3 BLK)63
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q3 - 0:09.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)63
3.4%
79
96.6%
Q3 - 0:10.0DETMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q3 - 0:17.0DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)63
3.4%
79
96.6%
Q3 - 0:18.0DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 263
2.9%
79
97.1%
Q3 - 0:18.0DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 263
3.1%
79
96.9%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIADragic 16' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)63
3.4%
79
96.6%
Q3 - 0:35.0DETDrummond 3' Layup (12 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)63
4.2%
77
95.8%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)61
3.4%
77
96.6%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAHEAT Rebound61
4.1%
75
95.9%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Winslow 1' Layup61
4.8%
75
95.2%
Q3 - 1:01MIAHEAT Rebound61
4.7%
75
95.3%
Q3 - 1:02DETMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
5.0%
75
95.0%
Q3 - 1:11DETHilliard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
5.7%
75
94.3%
Q3 - 1:12MIAMISS Whiteside 16' Jump Shot61
5.4%
75
94.6%
Q3 - 1:21MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
4.7%
75
95.3%
Q3 - 1:23DETMISS Drummond 9' Turnaround Hook Shot61
5.0%
75
95.0%
Q3 - 1:31DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)61
5.7%
75
94.3%
Q3 - 1:32MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Jump Shot61
5.4%
75
94.6%
Q3 - 1:53DETJackson 3' Running Finger Roll Layup (21 PTS)61
4.7%
75
95.3%
Q3 - 1:59DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
3.9%
75
96.1%
Q3 - 2:00MIAMISS Johnson 7' Floating Jump Shot59
3.7%
75
96.3%
Q3 - 2:15MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)59
3.7%
75
96.3%
Q3 - 2:16DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 259
3.8%
75
96.2%
Q3 - 2:16DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 259
4.1%
75
95.9%
Q3 - 2:30MIAWinslow 2' Cutting Layup Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)59
4.5%
75
95.5%
Q3 - 2:50DETJackson 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot (19 PTS)59
5.3%
73
94.7%
Q3 - 3:01DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)57
5.1%
73
94.9%
Q3 - 3:02MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
4.8%
73
95.2%
Q3 - 3:21DETHarris 7' Driving Bank Shot (21 PTS)57
4.2%
73
95.8%
Q3 - 3:31DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)55
3.6%
73
96.4%
Q3 - 3:32MIAMISS Wade 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Bank Jump Shot55
3.4%
73
96.6%
Q3 - 3:54DETJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)55
3.0%
73
97.0%
Q3 - 3:54DETJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)54
2.9%
73
97.1%
Q3 - 4:09MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)53
2.9%
73
97.1%
Q3 - 4:18MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)53
3.9%
70
96.1%
Q3 - 4:19DETMISS Tolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
4.1%
70
95.9%
Q3 - 4:34DETJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
4.7%
70
95.3%
Q3 - 4:35DETMISS Jackson 18' Pullup Jump Shot53
4.1%
70
95.9%
Q3 - 4:52MIADeng Running Dunk (10 PTS)53
4.7%
70
95.3%
Q3 - 4:55DETDeng STEAL (1 STL)53
5.4%
68
94.6%
Q3 - 5:10DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)53
7.1%
68
92.9%
Q3 - 5:11MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 253
6.9%
68
93.1%
Q3 - 5:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)53
6.3%
68
93.7%
Q3 - 5:22MIAWade Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)53
7.0%
67
93.0%
Q3 - 5:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
8.1%
66
91.9%
Q3 - 5:33DETWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)53
8.5%
66
91.5%
Q3 - 5:41MIAStoudemire Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)53
9.5%
66
90.5%
Q3 - 5:58DETJackson 16' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)53
8.1%
66
91.9%
Q3 - 6:10DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
7.7%
66
92.3%
Q3 - 6:11MIAMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot51
7.3%
66
92.7%
Q3 - 6:47DETCaldwell-Pope 10' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)51
6.5%
66
93.5%
Q3 - 7:03MIADragic 19' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)49
6.1%
66
93.9%
Q3 - 7:13DETJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)49
6.9%
64
93.1%
Q3 - 7:13DETJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)48
6.8%
64
93.2%
Q3 - 7:15MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)47
6.1%
64
93.9%
Q3 - 7:32DETWade STEAL (2 STL)47
5.2%
64
94.8%
Q3 - 7:50MIAStoudemire 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)47
6.1%
64
93.9%
Q3 - 8:09MIAHEAT Rebound47
7.3%
62
92.7%
Q3 - 8:10DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
7.6%
62
92.4%
Q3 - 8:22MIAWade Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T4)47
8.5%
62
91.5%
Q3 - 8:39DETHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)47
7.3%
62
92.7%
Q3 - 8:39DETHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)46
7.1%
62
92.9%
Q3 - 8:58MIAWade 12' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)45
6.4%
62
93.6%
Q3 - 9:10DETMarc Morris Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)45
7.8%
60
92.2%
Q3 - 9:21MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)45
8.9%
60
91.1%
Q3 - 9:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)45
9.2%
59
90.8%
Q3 - 9:34DETJackson 8' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)45
10.1%
58
89.9%
Q3 - 9:46MIAWade 13' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)43
8.9%
58
91.1%
Q3 - 9:56DETHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)43
10.1%
56
89.9%
Q3 - 9:56DETHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)42
9.9%
56
90.1%
Q3 - 10:16MIAStoudemire 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)41
9.4%
56
90.6%
Q3 - 10:36MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
10.6%
54
89.4%
Q3 - 10:37DETMISS Drummond 6' Turnaround Hook Shot41
11.0%
54
89.0%
Q3 - 10:44DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
12.1%
54
87.9%
Q3 - 10:45MIAMISS Deng 11' Fadeaway Jumper41
11.6%
54
88.4%
Q3 - 11:06DETJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)41
11.2%
54
88.8%
Q3 - 11:06DETJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)40
11.1%
54
88.9%
Q3 - 11:09DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
10.0%
54
90.0%
Q3 - 11:10MIAMISS Dragic 12' Jump Shot39
9.6%
54
90.4%
Q3 - 11:36DETHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)39
8.8%
54
91.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA36
6.9%
54
93.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETDrummond 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)36
6.0%
54
94.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)34
5.9%
54
94.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0DETMISS Jackson 2' Driving Hook Shot34
5.5%
54
94.5%
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAJohnson 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)34
5.8%
54
94.2%
Q2 - 0:38.0DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)34
6.8%
52
93.2%
Q2 - 0:38.0DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)33
6.3%
52
93.7%
Q2 - 0:38.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)32
5.8%
52
94.2%
Q2 - 0:39.0DETMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot32
5.5%
52
94.5%
Q2 - 1:04MIAJohnson 1' Tip Layup Shot (9 PTS)32
6.2%
52
93.8%
Q2 - 1:05MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
7.4%
50
92.6%
Q2 - 1:06MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Jump Shot32
7.7%
50
92.3%
Q2 - 1:07MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)32
7.4%
50
92.6%
Q2 - 1:09MIAMISS Deng 2' Driving Layup32
7.7%
50
92.3%
Q2 - 1:20MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)32
7.4%
50
92.6%
Q2 - 1:21DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 20' Jump Shot32
7.5%
50
92.5%
Q2 - 1:32DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)32
7.8%
50
92.2%
Q2 - 1:33MIAMISS Wade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot32
7.7%
50
92.3%
Q2 - 1:45MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)32
7.3%
50
92.7%
Q2 - 1:46DETMISS Jackson 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot32
7.5%
50
92.5%
Q2 - 2:12MIAJohnson 14' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS)32
8.5%
50
91.5%
Q2 - 2:33MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)32
9.5%
48
90.5%
Q2 - 2:34MIAMISS Richardson 15' Jump Shot32
10.2%
48
89.8%
Q2 - 2:53MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)32
9.5%
48
90.5%
Q2 - 2:54DETMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
9.8%
48
90.2%
Q2 - 3:09MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)32
11.3%
48
88.7%
Q2 - 3:35DETJackson 2' Layup (7 PTS)32
12.3%
46
87.7%
Q2 - 3:50MIAWhiteside 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)30
11.3%
46
88.7%
Q2 - 4:02DETHarris Foul Turnover (P1.T6)30
13.1%
44
86.9%
Q2 - 4:14MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)30
14.5%
44
85.5%
Q2 - 4:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
15.8%
42
84.2%
Q2 - 4:28DETMISS Marc Morris 8' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot30
16.3%
42
83.7%
Q2 - 4:37DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
17.5%
42
82.5%
Q2 - 4:38MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot30
17.0%
42
83.0%
Q2 - 4:55DETDrummond 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)30
15.8%
42
84.2%
Q2 - 5:09MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)28
14.9%
42
85.1%
Q2 - 5:09MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)28
15.2%
41
84.8%
Q2 - 5:26DETHarris 2' Layup (12 PTS)28
16.3%
40
83.7%
Q2 - 5:29DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
14.9%
40
85.1%
Q2 - 5:30DETMISS Harris 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot26
13.9%
40
86.1%
Q2 - 5:52MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)26
14.9%
40
85.1%
Q2 - 5:55DETWade STEAL (1 STL)26
17.9%
37
82.1%
Q2 - 6:13MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)26
20.5%
37
79.5%
Q2 - 6:22MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
23.7%
34
76.3%
Q2 - 6:23MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
25.5%
34
74.5%
Q2 - 6:36MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
23.7%
34
76.3%
Q2 - 6:37DETMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
24.4%
34
75.6%
Q2 - 6:52MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)26
26.2%
34
73.8%
Q2 - 6:52MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 1 of 226
26.8%
33
73.2%
Q2 - 6:56MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
25.7%
33
74.3%
Q2 - 6:57MIAMISS Whiteside 21' Jump Shot26
27.5%
33
72.5%
Q2 - 7:10MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
26.4%
33
73.6%
Q2 - 7:11DETMISS Johnson 7' Jump Bank Shot26
27.1%
33
72.9%
Q2 - 7:31MIADeng 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)26
28.6%
33
71.4%
Q2 - 7:37MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
30.6%
31
69.4%
Q2 - 7:38DETMISS Marc Morris 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
31.4%
31
68.6%
Q2 - 8:06MIADeng 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)26
33.2%
31
66.8%
Q2 - 8:24DETBlake 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Marc Morris 2 AST)26
35.4%
29
64.6%
Q2 - 8:38MIADragic Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)23
31.0%
29
69.0%
Q2 - 8:58DETBaynes 2' Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
28.7%
29
71.3%
Q2 - 9:00DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)21
26.7%
29
73.3%
Q2 - 9:03DETMISS Johnson 17' Pullup Jump Shot21
25.5%
29
74.5%
Q2 - 9:28MIAWhiteside 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)21
27.1%
29
72.9%
Q2 - 9:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
28.8%
27
71.2%
Q2 - 9:37DETMISS Tolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
29.5%
27
70.5%
Q2 - 9:45DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
31.2%
27
68.8%
Q2 - 9:46MIAMISS Deng 17' Turnaround Jump Shot21
30.5%
27
69.5%
Q2 - 10:07DETBaynes 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)21
28.9%
27
71.1%
Q2 - 10:08DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
27.3%
27
72.7%
Q2 - 10:09DETMISS Marc Morris 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
25.7%
27
74.3%
Q2 - 10:21DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
27.3%
27
72.7%
Q2 - 10:22MIAMISS Winslow 21' Jump Shot19
26.6%
27
73.4%
Q2 - 10:29MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
25.0%
27
75.0%
Q2 - 10:30DETMISS Johnson 3' Running Finger Roll Layup19
25.7%
27
74.3%
Q2 - 10:35MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)19
27.3%
27
72.7%
Q2 - 10:41MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
25.0%
27
75.0%
Q2 - 10:42DETMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
25.7%
27
74.3%
Q2 - 11:14MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)19
27.3%
27
72.7%
Q2 - 11:26DETMarc Morris Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)19
29.2%
25
70.8%
Q2 - 11:32DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
31.3%
25
68.7%
Q2 - 11:33MIAMISS Whiteside 10' Turnaround Hook Shot19
30.6%
25
69.4%
Q2 - 11:35MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
29.2%
25
70.8%
Q2 - 11:36MIAMISS Winslow 8' Floating Jump Shot19
30.6%
25
69.4%
Q2 - 11:47MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
29.2%
25
70.8%
Q2 - 11:48DETWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)19
29.8%
25
70.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA19
31.3%
25
68.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound19
29.2%
25
70.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Dragic 9' Jump Shot19
30.7%
25
69.3%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
29.7%
25
70.3%
Q1 - 0:18.0DETMISS Johnson 2' Reverse Layup19
30.1%
25
69.9%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAWhiteside 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)19
31.1%
25
68.9%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
33.7%
23
66.3%
Q1 - 0:46.0DETMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot19
34.2%
23
65.8%
Q1 - 1:02DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)19
35.5%
23
64.5%
Q1 - 1:03MIAMISS Dragic 14' Pullup Jump Shot19
35.0%
23
65.0%
Q1 - 1:15DETDrummond 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)19
33.9%
23
66.1%
Q1 - 1:36MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)17
31.3%
23
68.7%
Q1 - 1:49MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
36.0%
20
64.0%
Q1 - 1:50DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 18' Pullup Jump Shot17
36.5%
20
63.5%
Q1 - 2:05MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)17
38.0%
20
62.0%
Q1 - 2:05MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 217
38.3%
19
61.7%
Q1 - 2:21DETHarris 3' Driving Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)17
38.2%
19
61.8%
Q1 - 2:37MIARichardson 12' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)15
35.8%
19
64.2%
Q1 - 2:48MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
38.2%
17
61.8%
Q1 - 2:49DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 3' Driving Layup15
38.7%
17
61.3%
Q1 - 3:07DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
40.4%
17
59.6%
Q1 - 3:08MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Layup15
39.7%
17
60.3%
Q1 - 3:17DETCaldwell-Pope Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)15
38.0%
17
62.0%
Q1 - 3:21DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
40.4%
17
59.6%
Q1 - 3:22MIAMISS Whiteside 17' Jump Shot15
39.7%
17
60.3%
Q1 - 3:34MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
38.0%
17
62.0%
Q1 - 3:35DETMISS Jackson 7' Floating Jump Shot15
38.7%
17
61.3%
Q1 - 3:45DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)15
40.4%
17
59.6%
Q1 - 3:46MIAMISS Winslow 21' Jump Shot15
39.6%
17
60.4%
Q1 - 4:03DETJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)15
37.9%
17
62.1%
Q1 - 4:11DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
34.3%
17
65.7%
Q1 - 4:13MIAMISS Wade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot12
33.6%
17
66.4%
Q1 - 4:24MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
32.0%
17
68.0%
Q1 - 4:25DETMISS Marc Morris 3PT Jump Shot12
32.7%
17
67.3%
Q1 - 4:51MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)12
34.3%
17
65.7%
Q1 - 5:02MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
38.1%
14
61.9%
Q1 - 5:03DETMISS Jackson 9' Floating Jump Shot12
38.8%
14
61.2%
Q1 - 5:10DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
40.2%
14
59.8%
Q1 - 5:11MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
39.6%
14
60.4%
Q1 - 5:37DETHarris 12' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)12
38.1%
14
61.9%
Q1 - 5:58MIADragic 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)10
36.3%
14
63.7%
Q1 - 6:10DETDrummond 3' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)10
38.2%
12
61.8%
Q1 - 6:20DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
36.5%
12
63.5%
Q1 - 6:21MIAMISS Wade 7' Turnaround Jump Shot8
35.9%
12
64.1%
Q1 - 6:40DETJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
34.5%
12
65.5%
Q1 - 6:40DETJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
34.3%
12
65.7%
Q1 - 6:52MIADeng 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
32.9%
12
67.1%
Q1 - 7:05MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
34.6%
10
65.4%
Q1 - 7:06DETMISS Jackson 27' 3PT Jump Shot6
35.2%
10
64.8%
Q1 - 7:37MIAJohnson 12' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)6
36.7%
10
63.3%
Q1 - 7:46MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
38.1%
8
61.9%
Q1 - 7:47DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
38.8%
8
61.2%
Q1 - 7:54MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)6
40.3%
8
59.7%
Q1 - 8:11DETHarris 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)6
38.3%
8
61.7%
Q1 - 8:20DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
36.7%
8
63.3%
Q1 - 8:21MIAMISS Stoudemire 2' Driving Layup4
36.1%
8
63.9%
Q1 - 8:42MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
34.8%
8
65.2%
Q1 - 8:43DETMISS Marc Morris 18' Pullup Jump Shot4
35.4%
8
64.6%
Q1 - 9:01MIADeng 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)4
36.8%
8
63.2%
Q1 - 9:07MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
38.3%
6
61.7%
Q1 - 9:08DETMISS Jackson 13' Floating Jump Shot4
38.9%
6
61.1%
Q1 - 9:16DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
40.4%
6
59.6%
Q1 - 9:17MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot4
39.7%
6
60.3%
Q1 - 9:28DETJohnson STEAL (1 STL)4
38.3%
6
61.7%
Q1 - 9:53MIAWade 3' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)4
40.4%
6
59.6%
Q1 - 10:06DETDrummond Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
41.9%
4
58.1%
Q1 - 10:15MIAJohnson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
44.0%
4
56.0%
Q1 - 10:36DETHarris 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Marc Morris 1 AST)4
45.5%
2
54.5%
Q1 - 10:47DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
44.0%
2
56.0%
Q1 - 10:48MIAMISS Dragic 1' Driving Layup2
43.3%
2
56.7%
Q1 - 10:54MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
41.9%
2
58.1%
Q1 - 10:55DETMISS Drummond 7' Turnaround Hook Shot2
42.5%
2
57.5%
Q1 - 11:19MIAWade 6' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
43.6%
2
56.4%
Q1 - 11:32DETHarris 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
45.5%
0
54.5%
Q1 - 11:45DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
43.6%
0
56.4%
Q1 - 11:46MIAMISS Stoudemire 17' Jump Shot0
43.1%
0
56.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Stoudemire vs. Drummond: Tip to Deng0
42.0%
0
58.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.97 48.4%
MIA
1.14 56.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
13
25
52%
MIA
16
25
64%
Midrange
DET
14
33
42%
MIA
19
45
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
5
7.5
22
23%
34%
MIA
9
13.5
14
64%
96%
Free Throws
DET
20
25
80%
MIA
10
14
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Harris2188%10.5 / 12
R. Jackson2148%10.5 / 22
A. Drummond1250%6.0 / 12
A. Baynes1071%5.0 / 7
S. Blake8200%4.0 / 2
D. Hilliard867%4.0 / 6
K. Caldwell-Pope217%1.0 / 6
A. Tolliver225%1.0 / 4
S. Johnson211%1.0 / 9
R. Bullock2100%1.0 / 1
M. Morris16%0.5 / 8
S. Dinwiddie0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic2273%11.0 / 15
D. Wade1662%8.0 / 13
J. Richardson1689%8.0 / 9
H. Whiteside1454%7.0 / 13
L. Deng1246%6.0 / 13
J. Johnson1161%5.5 / 9
J. Winslow945%4.5 / 10
A. Stoudemire450%2.0 / 4
U. Haslem233%1.0 / 3
G. Green150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
78
+13
-13
91
MIA
83
+10
-9
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.97 48.4%
MIA
1.14 56.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Season Averages
Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
106.0
DET 97.8 +18.5
MIA 116.3
Pace
95.3
93.7
DET 97.5 +11.3
MIA 86.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.0
DET 14.8 +1.9
MIA 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
50.8%
DET 43.1%
MIA 57.7% +14.6%
TO %
13.5%
14.0%
DET 12.5%
MIA 10.0% +2.5%
ORB %
27.0%
23.9%
DET 26.1% +7.7%
MIA 18.4%
FTrt
29.6
28.2
DET 31.3 +14.6
MIA 16.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.2%
54.3%
DET 43.8%
MIA 50.0% +6.2%
STL %
7.3%
7.2%
DET 7.7% +1.2%
MIA 6.5%
BLK %
5.8%
10.3%
DET 1.4%
MIA 6.9% +5.5%
Season Averages
Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
52.8%
DET 48.4%
MIA 56.9% +8.5%
Rim FG%
55.8%
62.3%
DET 52.0%
MIA 64.0% +12.0%
Mid FG%
39.7%
40.5%
DET 42.4% +0.2%
MIA 42.2%
3P %
34.5%
33.6%
DET 22.7%
MIA 64.3% +41.6%
FT %
66.8%
74.4%
DET 80.0% +8.6%
MIA 71.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.0%
37.0%
DET 31.3% +1.5%
MIA 29.8%
Mid Att. %
33.7%
40.9%
DET 41.3% +12.3%
MIA 53.6%
3P Att. %
30.3%
22.1%
DET 27.5% +10.8%
MIA 16.7%
Game TotalsDETMIA
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points89107
Rebounds4341
Assists1422
Steals76
Blocks14
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (1)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (0)34 (4)
Field Goals32-8044-84
At-the-Rim FG13-2516-25
Midrange FG14-3319-45
2-Point FG27-5835-70
3-Point FG5-229-14
Free Throws20-2510-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORES

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 279 · 23
29.9
12
50%
13
0
0
0
1
2
3
10
2-6
33%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 226 · 24
29.2
21
88%
7
2
1
0
1
2
1
6
5-5
100%
8-9
89%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 208 · 26
28.8
21
48%
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
8-8
100%
5-13
38%
1-5
20%
F · 6'9" 235 · 27
28.1
1
6%
4
2
2
0
6
2
1
3
1-2
50%
0-4
0%
0-3
0%
G · 6'5" 204 · 23
25.0
2
17%
0
0
0
0
2
4
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 31
24.0
2
25%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
F · 6'7" 245 · 20
19.4
2
11%
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-7
14%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 172 · 36
15.3
8
200%
2
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
-
2-2
100%
G · 6'6" 220 · 23
14.3
8
67%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
C · 6'10" 260 · 29
14.2
10
71%
6
0
1
0
0
0
3
3
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25
3.9
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 215 · 23
3.9
0
0%
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 34
3.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#20 · G · 6'4" 210 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#17 · G · 6'5" 189 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
48%
43
14
7
1
13
0
12
31
20-25
80%
27-58
47%
5-22
23%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.