Final Win Prob. pScore
1445%102
89
1755%103
107
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo Pistons
97.89197.5
MIA logo Heat
116.39286.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA89
107
Q4 - 0:12.0DETDinwiddie Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)89
107
Q4 - 0:21.0MIARichardson 17' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)89
107
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
105
Q4 - 0:39.0DETMISS Tolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
105
Q4 - 0:55.0MIARichardson P.FOUL (P1.T4) (D.Taylor)89
105
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAMcRoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)89
105
Q4 - 1:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
105
Q4 - 1:19DETMISS Hilliard 2' Driving Layup89
105
Q4 - 1:31MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)89
105
Q4 - 1:31MIAHEAT Rebound89
105
Q4 - 1:32MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot89
105
Q4 - 1:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
105
Q4 - 1:54DETMISS Hilliard 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
105
Q4 - 2:01MIAGreen P.FOUL (P1.T3) (D.Collins)89
105
Q4 - 2:08MIAHEAT Rebound89
105
Q4 - 2:08MIAGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)89
105
Q4 - 2:08MIASUB: McRoberts FOR Dragic89
104
Q4 - 2:08MIASUB: Haslem FOR Whiteside89
104
Q4 - 2:08MIAMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 289
104
Q4 - 2:08DETDinwiddie S.FOUL (P1.T3) (E.Malloy)89
104
Q4 - 2:11DETGreen STEAL (1 STL)89
104
Q4 - 2:25MIAWhiteside Dunk (14 PTS) (Dragic 8 AST)89
104
Q4 - 2:50DETBullock 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Dinwiddie 1 AST)89
102
Q4 - 3:03DETPistons Rebound87
102
Q4 - 3:04DETWhiteside BLOCK (4 BLK)87
102
Q4 - 3:05DETDinwiddie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)87
102
Q4 - 3:06DETMISS Dinwiddie 10' Floating Jump Shot87
102
Q4 - 3:13DETAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
102
Q4 - 3:14MIAMISS Richardson 3' Driving Layup87
102
Q4 - 3:33DETHilliard 18' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)87
102
Q4 - 3:41MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)85
102
Q4 - 3:55MIASUB: Green FOR Deng85
102
Q4 - 3:55DETSUB: Bullock FOR Baynes85
102
Q4 - 3:55DETSUB: Anthony FOR Blake85
102
Q4 - 3:55DETSUB: Dinwiddie FOR Johnson85
102
Q4 - 3:55DETJohnson P.FOUL (P1.T2) (E.Malloy)85
102
Q4 - 4:11DETBaynes 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Blake 3 AST)85
102
Q4 - 4:26MIAWhiteside 1' Layup (12 PTS)83
102
Q4 - 4:29MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)83
100
Q4 - 4:30MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup83
100
Q4 - 4:50DETHilliard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Tolliver 1 AST)83
100
Q4 - 4:59DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)80
100
Q4 - 5:00MIAMISS Deng 1' Driving Reverse Layup80
100
Q4 - 5:12MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
100
Q4 - 5:13DETMISS Johnson 1' Tip Layup Shot80
100
Q4 - 5:14DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
100
Q4 - 5:15DETMISS Johnson 1' Driving Layup80
100
Q4 - 5:33MIAWinslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Deng 5 AST)80
100
Q4 - 5:58DETBlake Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)80
97
Q4 - 5:5879
97
Q4 - 5:58MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)79
97
Q4 - 5:59DETHilliard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)79
97
Q4 - 6:05MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)76
97
Q4 - 6:16DETBaynes Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)76
97
Q4 - 6:16DETBaynes Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)75
97
Q4 - 6:16MIADragic S.FOUL (P4.T2) (E.Malloy)74
97
Q4 - 6:41MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)74
97
Q4 - 6:56DETJohnson 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Blake 2 AST)74
94
Q4 - 7:06DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)72
94
Q4 - 7:09MIAWhiteside Dunk (10 PTS) (Dragic 7 AST)72
94
Q4 - 7:26DETTolliver 7' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)72
92
Q4 - 7:37DETBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
92
Q4 - 7:38MIAMISS Deng 18' Step Back Jump Shot70
92
Q4 - 7:49MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)70
92
Q4 - 7:50DETMISS Baynes 6' Jump Bank Shot70
92
Q4 - 8:08MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Deng 4 AST)70
92
Q4 - 8:20DETSUB: Johnson FOR Marc Morris70
89
Q4 - 8:2270
89
Q4 - 8:22DETBlake P.FOUL (P2.T1) (E.Malloy)70
89
Q4 - 8:34DETWhiteside STEAL (1 STL)70
89
Q4 - 8:51MIADragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)70
89
Q4 - 9:11DETBaynes 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hilliard 1 AST)70
86
Q4 - 9:34MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)68
86
Q4 - 9:47DETBlake 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)68
84
Q4 - 9:59DETHilliard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
84
Q4 - 10:00MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
84
Q4 - 10:18DETMarc Morris Foul Turnover (P5.T10)65
84
Q4 - 10:18DETMarc Morris OFF.Foul (P2) (D.Collins)65
84
Q4 - 10:24DETBlake Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)65
84
Q4 - 10:24MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Whiteside ) (E.Malloy)64
84
Q4 - 10:38MIADeng 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)64
84
Q4 - 10:52DETMarc Morris Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)64
82
Q4 - 10:52DETPistons Rebound63
82
Q4 - 10:52DETMISS Marc Morris Free Throw 1 of 263
82
Q4 - 10:52MIAWinslow S.FOUL (P2.T1) (D.Taylor)63
82
Q4 - 10:56DETHilliard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
82
Q4 - 10:57MIAMISS Winslow 3PT Jump Shot63
82
Q4 - 11:22MIAHEAT Rebound63
82
Q4 - 11:23DETMISS Marc Morris 2' Layup63
82
Q4 - 11:24DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
82
Q4 - 11:25DETMISS Baynes 10' Turnaround Jump Shot63
82
Q4 - 11:37DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)63
82
Q4 - 11:38DETMISS Hilliard 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
82
Q4 - 11:47DETBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
82
Q4 - 11:48MIAMISS Winslow 9' Hook Shot63
82
Q4 - 12:0063
82
Q3 - 0:00.0DET63
82
Q3 - 0:00.0MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)63
82
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)63
79
Q3 - 0:09.0DETWhiteside BLOCK (3 BLK)63
79
Q3 - 0:09.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)63
79
Q3 - 0:10.0DETMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
79
Q3 - 0:17.0DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)63
79
Q3 - 0:18.0DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 263
79
Q3 - 0:18.0DETPistons Rebound63
79
Q3 - 0:18.0DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 263
79
Q3 - 0:18.0MIADragic Personal Take Foul (P3.PN) (E.Malloy)63
79
Q3 - 0:24.0MIADragic 16' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)63
79
Q3 - 0:35.0DETDrummond 3' Layup (12 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)63
77
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)61
77
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAHEAT Rebound61
75
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Winslow 1' Layup61
75
Q3 - 1:01MIASUB: Deng FOR Johnson61
75
Q3 - 1:01MIAHEAT Rebound61
75
Q3 - 1:02DETMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
75
Q3 - 1:11DETHilliard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
75
Q3 - 1:12MIAMISS Whiteside 16' Jump Shot61
75
Q3 - 1:21MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
75
Q3 - 1:23DETMISS Drummond 9' Turnaround Hook Shot61
75
Q3 - 1:31DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)61
75
Q3 - 1:32MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Jump Shot61
75
Q3 - 1:53DETJackson 3' Running Finger Roll Layup (21 PTS)61
75
Q3 - 1:59DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
75
Q3 - 2:00MIAMISS Johnson 7' Floating Jump Shot59
75
Q3 - 2:15MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)59
75
Q3 - 2:16DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 259
75
Q3 - 2:16MIASUB: Dragic FOR Wade59
75
Q3 - 2:16DETSUB: Hilliard FOR Johnson59
75
Q3 - 2:16DETPistons Rebound59
75
Q3 - 2:16DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 259
75
Q3 - 2:16MIAWhiteside P.FOUL (P3.PN) (D.Taylor)59
75
Q3 - 2:30MIAWinslow 2' Cutting Layup Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)59
75
Q3 - 2:50DETJackson 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot (19 PTS)59
73
Q3 - 3:01DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)57
73
Q3 - 3:02MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
73
Q3 - 3:21DETHarris 7' Driving Bank Shot (21 PTS)57
73
Q3 - 3:31DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)55
73
Q3 - 3:32MIAMISS Wade 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Bank Jump Shot55
73
Q3 - 3:54DETJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)55
73
Q3 - 3:54DETJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)54
73
Q3 - 3:54MIAWhiteside P.FOUL (P2.PN) (D.Taylor)53
73
Q3 - 4:09MIASUB: Winslow FOR Deng53
73
Q3 - 4:09DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)53
73
Q3 - 4:09MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)53
73
Q3 - 4:18MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)53
70
Q3 - 4:19DETMISS Tolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
70
Q3 - 4:34DETJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
70
Q3 - 4:35DETMISS Jackson 18' Pullup Jump Shot53
70
Q3 - 4:52MIADeng Running Dunk (10 PTS)53
70
Q3 - 4:55DETDeng STEAL (1 STL)53
68
Q3 - 5:10DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)53
68
Q3 - 5:11MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 253
68
Q3 - 5:11DETSUB: Tolliver FOR Caldwell-Pope53
68
Q3 - 5:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)53
68
Q3 - 5:11DETCaldwell-Pope S.FOUL (P4.T3) (D.Taylor)53
67
Q3 - 5:22MIAWade Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)53
67
Q3 - 5:22DETPistons T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Drummond ) (D.Taylor)53
66
Q3 - 5:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
66
Q3 - 5:33DETWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)53
66
Q3 - 5:41MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Dragic53
66
Q3 - 5:41MIASUB: Richardson FOR Stoudemire53
66
Q3 - 5:41MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)53
66
Q3 - 5:41MIAStoudemire Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)53
66
Q3 - 5:58DETJackson 16' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)53
66
Q3 - 6:10DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
66
Q3 - 6:11MIAMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot51
66
Q3 - 6:26DETCaldwell-Pope P.FOUL (P3.T2) (D.Taylor)51
66
Q3 - 6:47DETCaldwell-Pope 10' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)51
66
Q3 - 7:03MIADragic 19' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)49
66
Q3 - 7:13DETJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)49
64
Q3 - 7:13DETJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)48
64
Q3 - 7:13MIADeng P.FOUL (P2.PN) (D.Taylor)47
64
Q3 - 7:15MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)47
64
Q3 - 7:28DETSUB: Johnson FOR Marc Morris47
64
Q3 - 7:32DETWade STEAL (2 STL)47
64
Q3 - 7:50MIAStoudemire 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)47
64
Q3 - 8:09MIAHEAT Rebound47
62
Q3 - 8:10DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
62
Q3 - 8:22MIAWade Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T4)47
62
Q3 - 8:39DETHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)47
62
Q3 - 8:39DETHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)46
62
Q3 - 8:39MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T4) (E.Malloy)45
62
Q3 - 8:58MIAWade 12' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)45
62
Q3 - 9:10DETPistons Violation: Delay of game Violation45
60
Q3 - 9:10DETMarc Morris Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)45
60
Q3 - 9:21MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)45
60
Q3 - 9:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)45
59
Q3 - 9:21DETDrummond S.FOUL (P2.T1) (D.Collins)45
58
Q3 - 9:34DETJackson 8' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)45
58
Q3 - 9:46MIAWade 13' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)43
58
Q3 - 9:56DETHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)43
56
Q3 - 9:56DETHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)42
56
Q3 - 9:56MIAStoudemire S.FOUL (P2.T3) (D.Taylor)41
56
Q3 - 10:16MIAStoudemire 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)41
56
Q3 - 10:36MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
54
Q3 - 10:37DETMISS Drummond 6' Turnaround Hook Shot41
54
Q3 - 10:44DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
54
Q3 - 10:45MIAMISS Deng 11' Fadeaway Jumper41
54
Q3 - 11:06DETJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)41
54
Q3 - 11:06DETJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)40
54
Q3 - 11:06MIADragic S.FOUL (P2.T2) (D.Collins)39
54
Q3 - 11:09DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
54
Q3 - 11:10MIAMISS Dragic 12' Jump Shot39
54
Q3 - 11:36DETHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)39
54
Q3 - 11:36MIADeng S.FOUL (P1.T1) (D.Taylor)38
54
Q3 - 11:36DETHarris 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)38
54
Q3 - 12:0036
54
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA36
54
Q2 - 0:00.0DET36
54
Q2 - 0:00.0DETDrummond 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)36
54
Q2 - 0:01.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)34
54
Q2 - 0:03.0DETMISS Jackson 2' Driving Hook Shot34
54
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAJohnson 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)34
54
Q2 - 0:38.0DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)34
52
Q2 - 0:38.0DETSUB: Johnson FOR Caldwell-Pope33
52
Q2 - 0:38.0DETSUB: Tolliver FOR Harris33
52
Q2 - 0:38.0DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)33
52
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAWhiteside S.FOUL (P1.T2) (E.Malloy)32
52
Q2 - 0:38.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)32
52
Q2 - 0:39.0DETMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot32
52
Q2 - 1:04MIAJohnson 1' Tip Layup Shot (9 PTS)32
52
Q2 - 1:05MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
50
Q2 - 1:06MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Jump Shot32
50
Q2 - 1:07MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)32
50
Q2 - 1:09MIAMISS Deng 2' Driving Layup32
50
Q2 - 1:20MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)32
50
Q2 - 1:21DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 20' Jump Shot32
50
Q2 - 1:32DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)32
50
Q2 - 1:33MIAMISS Wade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot32
50
Q2 - 1:45MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)32
50
Q2 - 1:46DETMISS Jackson 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot32
50
Q2 - 2:12MIAJohnson 14' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS)32
50
Q2 - 2:28MIASUB: Deng FOR Winslow32
48
Q2 - 2:28MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)32
48
Q2 - 2:33MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)32
48
Q2 - 2:34MIAMISS Richardson 15' Jump Shot32
48
Q2 - 2:53MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)32
48
Q2 - 2:54DETMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
48
Q2 - 3:09MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)32
48
Q2 - 3:35DETJackson 2' Layup (7 PTS)32
46
Q2 - 3:50MIAWhiteside 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)30
46
Q2 - 4:02MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Haslem30
44
Q2 - 4:02DETHarris Foul Turnover (P1.T6)30
44
Q2 - 4:02DETHarris Offensive Charge Foul (P2.T4) (D.Taylor)30
44
Q2 - 4:14MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)30
44
Q2 - 4:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
42
Q2 - 4:28DETMISS Marc Morris 8' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot30
42
Q2 - 4:37DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
42
Q2 - 4:38MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot30
42
Q2 - 4:55DETDrummond 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)30
42
Q2 - 5:09MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)28
42
Q2 - 5:09MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)28
41
Q2 - 5:09DETCaldwell-Pope S.FOUL (P2.T3) (E.Malloy)28
40
Q2 - 5:26DETHarris 2' Layup (12 PTS)28
40
Q2 - 5:29DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
40
Q2 - 5:30DETMISS Harris 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot26
40
Q2 - 5:52MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)26
40
Q2 - 5:52DETSUB: Harris FOR Baynes26
39
Q2 - 5:52DETSUB: Drummond FOR Tolliver26
39
Q2 - 5:52MIASUB: Johnson FOR Deng26
39
Q2 - 5:5226
39
Q2 - 5:52DETCaldwell-Pope S.FOUL (P1.T2) (D.Taylor)26
39
Q2 - 5:52MIAWinslow 2' Running Layup (3 PTS)26
39
Q2 - 5:55DETWade STEAL (1 STL)26
37
Q2 - 6:13MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)26
37
Q2 - 6:22MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
34
Q2 - 6:23MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
34
Q2 - 6:36MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
34
Q2 - 6:37DETMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
34
Q2 - 6:52MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)26
34
Q2 - 6:52DETSUB: Caldwell-Pope FOR Blake26
33
Q2 - 6:52DETSUB: Jackson FOR Johnson26
33
Q2 - 6:52MIASUB: Haslem FOR Whiteside26
33
Q2 - 6:52MIASUB: Wade FOR Dragic26
33
Q2 - 6:52MIAHEAT Rebound26
33
Q2 - 6:52MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 1 of 226
33
Q2 - 6:52DETMarc Morris S.FOUL (P1.T1) (D.Collins)26
33
Q2 - 6:56MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
33
Q2 - 6:57MIAMISS Whiteside 21' Jump Shot26
33
Q2 - 7:10MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
33
Q2 - 7:11DETMISS Johnson 7' Jump Bank Shot26
33
Q2 - 7:31MIADeng 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)26
33
Q2 - 7:37MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
31
Q2 - 7:38DETMISS Marc Morris 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
31
Q2 - 8:06MIADeng 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)26
31
Q2 - 8:24DETBlake 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Marc Morris 2 AST)26
29
Q2 - 8:38MIADragic Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)23
29
Q2 - 8:58DETBaynes 2' Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
29
Q2 - 9:00DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)21
29
Q2 - 9:03DETMISS Johnson 17' Pullup Jump Shot21
29
Q2 - 9:21DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)21
29
Q2 - 9:28MIAWhiteside 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)21
29
Q2 - 9:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
27
Q2 - 9:37DETMISS Tolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
27
Q2 - 9:45DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
27
Q2 - 9:46MIAMISS Deng 17' Turnaround Jump Shot21
27
Q2 - 10:07DETBaynes 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)21
27
Q2 - 10:08DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
27
Q2 - 10:09DETMISS Marc Morris 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
27
Q2 - 10:21DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
27
Q2 - 10:22MIAMISS Winslow 21' Jump Shot19
27
Q2 - 10:29MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
27
Q2 - 10:30DETMISS Johnson 3' Running Finger Roll Layup19
27
Q2 - 10:35MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)19
27
Q2 - 10:41MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
27
Q2 - 10:42DETMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
27
Q2 - 10:57MIAWinslow P.FOUL (P1.T1) (E.Malloy)19
27
Q2 - 11:14MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)19
27
Q2 - 11:26DETMarc Morris Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)19
25
Q2 - 11:32DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
25
Q2 - 11:33MIAMISS Whiteside 10' Turnaround Hook Shot19
25
Q2 - 11:35MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
25
Q2 - 11:36MIAMISS Winslow 8' Floating Jump Shot19
25
Q2 - 11:47MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
25
Q2 - 11:48DETWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)19
25
Q2 - 12:0019
25
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA19
25
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound19
25
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Dragic 9' Jump Shot19
25
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
25
Q1 - 0:18.0DETMISS Johnson 2' Reverse Layup19
25
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAWhiteside 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)19
25
Q1 - 0:45.0MIASUB: Deng FOR Johnson19
23
Q1 - 0:45.0DETBlake Personal Block Foul (P1.T2) (D.Collins)19
23
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
23
Q1 - 0:46.0DETMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot19
23
Q1 - 1:02DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)19
23
Q1 - 1:03MIAMISS Dragic 14' Pullup Jump Shot19
23
Q1 - 1:15DETDrummond 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)19
23
Q1 - 1:36MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)17
23
Q1 - 1:49MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
20
Q1 - 1:50DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 18' Pullup Jump Shot17
20
Q1 - 2:05MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)17
20
Q1 - 2:05MIAHEAT Rebound17
19
Q1 - 2:05MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 217
19
Q1 - 2:05DETSUB: Blake FOR Jackson17
19
Q1 - 2:05DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)17
19
Q1 - 2:05DETHarris S.FOUL (P1.T1) (D.Taylor)17
19
Q1 - 2:21DETHarris 3' Driving Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)17
19
Q1 - 2:37MIARichardson 12' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)15
19
Q1 - 2:48MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
17
Q1 - 2:49DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 3' Driving Layup15
17
Q1 - 3:07DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
17
Q1 - 3:08MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Layup15
17
Q1 - 3:17DETCaldwell-Pope Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)15
17
Q1 - 3:21DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
17
Q1 - 3:22MIAMISS Whiteside 17' Jump Shot15
17
Q1 - 3:34MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
17
Q1 - 3:35DETMISS Jackson 7' Floating Jump Shot15
17
Q1 - 3:45DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)15
17
Q1 - 3:46MIAMISS Winslow 21' Jump Shot15
17
Q1 - 4:03MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Wade15
17
Q1 - 4:03MIASUB: Dragic FOR Stoudemire15
17
Q1 - 4:03MIASUB: Winslow FOR Deng15
17
Q1 - 4:03DETSUB: Johnson FOR Marc Morris15
17
Q1 - 4:03MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 1 Short 1)15
17
Q1 - 4:03DETJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)15
17
Q1 - 4:11DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
17
Q1 - 4:13MIAMISS Wade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot12
17
Q1 - 4:24MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
17
Q1 - 4:25DETMISS Marc Morris 3PT Jump Shot12
17
Q1 - 4:51MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)12
17
Q1 - 5:02MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
14
Q1 - 5:03DETMISS Jackson 9' Floating Jump Shot12
14
Q1 - 5:10DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
14
Q1 - 5:11MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
14
Q1 - 5:37DETHarris 12' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)12
14
Q1 - 5:48MIASUB: Richardson FOR Dragic10
14
Q1 - 5:48MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)10
14
Q1 - 5:48MIADragic P.FOUL (P1.T3) (E.Malloy)10
14
Q1 - 5:58MIADragic 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)10
14
Q1 - 6:10DETDrummond 3' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)10
12
Q1 - 6:20DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
12
Q1 - 6:21MIAMISS Wade 7' Turnaround Jump Shot8
12
Q1 - 6:40DETJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
12
Q1 - 6:40DETJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
12
Q1 - 6:40MIAStoudemire S.FOUL (P1.T2) (D.Taylor)6
12
Q1 - 6:52MIADeng 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
12
Q1 - 7:05MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
10
Q1 - 7:06DETMISS Jackson 27' 3PT Jump Shot6
10
Q1 - 7:22MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P1.T1) (D.Collins)6
10
Q1 - 7:37MIAJohnson 12' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)6
10
Q1 - 7:46MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
8
Q1 - 7:47DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
8
Q1 - 7:54MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)6
8
Q1 - 8:11DETHarris 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)6
8
Q1 - 8:20DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
8
Q1 - 8:21MIAMISS Stoudemire 2' Driving Layup4
8
Q1 - 8:42MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
8
Q1 - 8:43DETMISS Marc Morris 18' Pullup Jump Shot4
8
Q1 - 9:01MIADeng 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)4
8
Q1 - 9:07MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
6
Q1 - 9:08DETMISS Jackson 13' Floating Jump Shot4
6
Q1 - 9:16DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
6
Q1 - 9:17MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot4
6
Q1 - 9:28DETJohnson STEAL (1 STL)4
6
Q1 - 9:53MIAWade 3' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)4
6
Q1 - 10:06DETDrummond Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
4
Q1 - 10:06DETDrummond OFF.Foul (P1) (D.Collins)4
4
Q1 - 10:15MIAJohnson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
4
Q1 - 10:36DETHarris 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Marc Morris 1 AST)4
2
Q1 - 10:47DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 10:48MIAMISS Dragic 1' Driving Layup2
2
Q1 - 10:54MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 10:55DETMISS Drummond 7' Turnaround Hook Shot2
2
Q1 - 11:19MIAWade 6' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:32DETHarris 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 11:45DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:46MIAMISS Stoudemire 17' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Stoudemire vs. Drummond: Tip to Deng0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.97 48.4%
MIA
1.14 56.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
13
25
52%
MIA
16
25
64%
Midrange
DET
14
33
42%
MIA
19
45
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
5
7.5
22
23%
34%
MIA
9
13.5
14
64%
96%
Free Throws
DET
20
25
80%
MIA
10
14
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Harris2188%10.5 / 12
R. Jackson2148%10.5 / 22
A. Drummond1250%6.0 / 12
A. Baynes1071%5.0 / 7
S. Blake8200%4.0 / 2
D. Hilliard867%4.0 / 6
K. Caldwell-Pope217%1.0 / 6
A. Tolliver225%1.0 / 4
S. Johnson211%1.0 / 9
R. Bullock2100%1.0 / 1
M. Morris16%0.5 / 8
S. Dinwiddie0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic2273%11.0 / 15
D. Wade1662%8.0 / 13
J. Richardson1689%8.0 / 9
H. Whiteside1454%7.0 / 13
L. Deng1246%6.0 / 13
J. Johnson1161%5.5 / 9
J. Winslow945%4.5 / 10
A. Stoudemire450%2.0 / 4
U. Haslem233%1.0 / 3
G. Green150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
78
+13
-13
91
MIA
83
+10
-9
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.97 48.4%
MIA
1.14 56.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
106.0
DET 97.8
MIA 116.3 +18.5
Pace
95.3
93.7
DET 97.5 +11.3
MIA 86.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.0
DET 14.8 −1.9
MIA 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
50.8%
DET 43.1%
MIA 57.7% +14.6%
TO %
13.5%
14.0%
DET 12.5%
MIA 10.0% −2.5%
ORB %
27.0%
23.9%
DET 26.1% +7.7%
MIA 18.4%
FTrt
29.6
28.2
DET 31.3 +14.6
MIA 16.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.2%
54.3%
DET 43.8%
MIA 50.0% +6.2%
STL %
7.3%
7.2%
DET 7.7% +1.2%
MIA 6.5%
BLK %
5.8%
10.3%
DET 1.4%
MIA 6.9% +5.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
52.8%
DET 48.4%
MIA 56.9% +8.5%
Rim FG%
55.8%
62.3%
DET 52.0%
MIA 64.0% +12.0%
Mid FG%
39.7%
40.5%
DET 42.4% +0.2%
MIA 42.2%
3P %
34.5%
33.6%
DET 22.7%
MIA 64.3% +41.6%
FT %
66.8%
74.4%
DET 80.0% +8.6%
MIA 71.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.0%
37.0%
DET 31.3% +1.5%
MIA 29.8%
Mid Att. %
33.7%
40.9%
DET 41.3% −12.3%
MIA 53.6%
3P Att. %
30.3%
22.1%
DET 27.5% +10.8%
MIA 16.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.56 and 2.56.
Game TotalsDETMIA
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points89107
Rebounds4341
Assists1422
Steals76
Blocks14
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (1)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (0)34 (4)
Field Goals32-8044-84
At-the-Rim FG13-2516-25
Midrange FG14-3319-45
2-Point FG27-5835-70
3-Point FG5-229-14
Free Throws20-2510-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 279 · 23
29.9
12
50%
13
0
0
0
1
2
3
10
2-6
33%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 226 · 24
29.2
21
88%
7
2
1
0
1
2
1
6
5-5
100%
8-9
89%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 208 · 26
28.8
21
48%
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
8-8
100%
5-13
38%
1-5
20%
F · 6'9" 235 · 27
28.1
1
6%
4
2
2
0
6
2
1
3
1-2
50%
0-4
0%
0-3
0%
G · 6'5" 204 · 23
25.0
2
17%
0
0
0
0
2
4
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 31
24.0
2
25%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
F · 6'7" 245 · 20
19.4
2
11%
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-7
14%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 172 · 36
15.3
8
200%
2
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
-
2-2
100%
G · 6'6" 220 · 23
14.3
8
67%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
C · 6'10" 260 · 29
14.2
10
71%
6
0
1
0
0
0
3
3
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25
3.9
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 215 · 23
3.9
0
0%
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 34
3.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#20 · G · 6'4" 210 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#17 · G · 6'5" 189 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
48%
43
14
7
1
13
0
12
31
20-25
80%
27-58
47%
5-22
23%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.