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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 5, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Cavaliers74%109109
25Bucks26%10080
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 31.3
28
36
17
5
9
0
1
1
4
0
5
2-2
100%
6-7
9-16
86%
56%
1-2
50%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.0
27
32
15
3
6
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-3
67%
2-5
6-11
40%
50%
3-4
75%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.6
26
30
21
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
7-11
64%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 27.6
25
29
17
9
3
0
1
0
2
0
9
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
3-6
50%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 29.7
22
15
4
4
1
0
0
3
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
56%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 32.9
23
15
12
6
1
1
0
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
48%
2-6
33%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 35.8
20
7
0
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-3
0%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 25.1
18
28
11
7
1
0
1
2
0
2
5
1-1
100%
5-6
3-5
83%
56%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 25.8
16
26
2
3
1
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.6
11
23
2
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.3
10
10
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.5
9
4
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
2-4
50%
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 25.0
6
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Sasha Kaun
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashad Vaughn
G · 6'6" 202 · 19.6
45
24
10
2
1
3
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
1-3
29%
40%
2-10
20%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.1
41
38
19
2
4
0
1
0
2
1
1
5-10
50%
7-17
7-13
41%
51%
0-2
0%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 21.3
39
37
22
14
8
1
1
0
3
3
11
0-0
-
8-14
7-13
57%
52%
2-4
50%
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 22.8
31
12
12
7
1
0
0
0
1
4
3
0-0
-
6-10
1-3
60%
43%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 25.8
25
25
8
5
2
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-11
5-9
36%
51%
0-0
-
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 21.6
28
25
4
4
2
2
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.6
20
20
5
7
0
0
1
0
0
3
4
1-2
50%
2-6
3-5
33%
55%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 25.3
7
14
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
56%
0-0
-
Damien Inglis
F · 6'8" 246 · 20.9
6
7
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 24.6
21
1
3-6
48%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 29.2
10
0
1-2
45%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.6
10
0
1-1
44%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 24.5
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 32.8
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.