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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 6, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Cavaliers45%101109
12Pacers55%103123
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 25.8
35.0
22.3
4
35%
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-3
0%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.0
30.2
30.0
26
66%
2
6
3
1
1
4
0
2
3-4
75%
10-13
5-10
77%
48%
1-5
20%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.6
24.1
28.5
10
63%
0
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Kevin Love
F-C · 6'8" 251 · 27.6
18.5
27.3
23
66%
5
0
0
1
0
1
0
5
10-10
100%
2-8
3-6
25%
47%
3-5
60%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 29.7
15.8
17.6
4
114%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
4-4
100%
0-0
2-5
-
54%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 35.8
31.2
12.5
10
57%
4
1
2
0
0
0
0
4
3-4
75%
2-2
1-1
100%
48%
1-5
20%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 25.1
22.4
24.1
9
77%
5
0
0
0
0
2
2
3
1-2
50%
4-5
2-5
80%
55%
0-0
-
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.6
21.5
18.8
4
33%
3
4
0
0
0
1
3
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
39%
0-1
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 32.9
20.6
18.0
10
74%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
4-4
100%
0-0
1-2
-
46%
2-5
40%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.3
5.2
10.3
2
20%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-3
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.5
5.1
6.9
5
83%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
39%
1-1
100%
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 25.0
5.1
4.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Sasha Kaun
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.9
5.1
2.1
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
49%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.4
32.6
27.6
13
53%
6
8
1
1
0
3
1
5
2-3
67%
4-9
3-7
44%
48%
1-2
50%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 29.9
31.6
27.2
9
56%
4
5
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
50%
1-1
100%
Paul George
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.9
31.5
30.7
29
74%
5
1
1
2
0
3
0
5
5-6
83%
6-8
5-10
75%
46%
4-9
44%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.4
21.7
27.7
15
78%
8
3
1
1
0
2
4
4
5-6
83%
5-7
4-7
71%
57%
0-0
-
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 27.2
20.9
16.0
7
72%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
3-4
2-3
75%
50%
0-0
-
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 25.1
31.2
18.1
15
83%
5
0
3
1
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
47%
3-4
75%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.1
24.2
18.2
21
106%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
6-8
75%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.0
21.9
18.4
8
43%
3
3
0
1
0
2
1
2
3-3
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
1-5
20%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 28.7
8.9
6.6
6
75%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
51%
0-0
-
Myles Turner
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 20.0
5.1
25.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
5-9
0%
51%
0-0
-
Joe Young
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.8
3.5
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-2
0%
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.2
3.5
3.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Shayne Whittington
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 25.0
3.5
3.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Rakeem Christmas
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.3
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 28.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.