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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 6, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Pistons
108
20Magic
104
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.1
36
31
18
3
1
3
1
0
1
1
2
2-3
67%
5-7
3-7
71%
48%
2-3
67%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 22.7
33
30
13
16
1
1
1
4
2
5
11
3-6
50%
5-14
6-11
36%
54%
0-0
-
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.6
33
32
9
3
4
3
1
0
3
2
1
2-4
50%
2-7
3-7
29%
48%
1-4
25%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 26.0
32
29
24
4
4
0
1
1
3
1
3
9-11
82%
6-14
5-10
43%
47%
1-4
25%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.7
30
31
13
7
2
1
1
0
1
1
6
1-2
50%
3-8
5-9
38%
51%
2-3
67%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25.1
27
5
13
3
6
1
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
46%
3-6
50%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.8
18
17
6
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-3
33%
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
1-4
25%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 36.1
16
16
3
2
6
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
1-3
33%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.3
15
16
9
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
4-5
3-5
80%
52%
0-0
-
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 19.9
18
1
2-4
44%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.0
9
0
1-2
46%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.0
5
0
1-1
44%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 33.7
4
0
0-1
49%
Lorenzo Brown
G · 6'5" 189 · 25.6
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.9
39
33
16
4
3
1
2
1
2
0
4
5-7
71%
4-11
5-10
36%
49%
1-2
50%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.6
32
27
6
6
4
0
1
1
1
2
4
0-2
0%
3-8
4-7
38%
54%
0-2
0%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 22.1
32
29
17
2
5
2
1
1
3
1
1
1-1
100%
8-12
4-8
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.4
32
33
19
3
2
0
1
0
4
1
2
5-5
100%
7-10
4-8
70%
51%
0-5
0%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 26.7
5
14
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
56%
0-0
-
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.5
27
27
15
13
3
2
1
1
1
2
11
1-2
50%
7-14
8-15
50%
53%
0-0
-
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 21.1
20
19
6
3
3
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
52%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.3
20
19
14
6
0
1
0
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
53%
2-2
100%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30.1
16
11
6
9
2
0
0
2
0
3
6
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
50%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 26.5
16
17
5
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
1-3
33%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.0
12
0
1-2
45%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.9
6
0
1-1
48%
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.5
5
0
0-1
45%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.