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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 6, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Nets23%98103
11Wizards77%108121
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.5
31
30
9
7
7
0
2
1
1
3
4
1-2
50%
4-9
3-7
44%
47%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 25.1
31
23
23
10
4
0
1
0
1
6
4
3-5
60%
10-16
3-7
63%
46%
0-0
-
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 21.3
24
18
7
3
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
47%
1-2
50%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.4
24
22
14
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
4-7
57%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.0
21
13
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-10
2-3
20%
50%
0-2
0%
Sean Kilpatrick
G · 6'4" 212 · 26.2
26
25
15
1
1
0
1
0
3
0
1
6-6
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
48%
1-3
33%
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.2
25
19
10
3
1
5
1
1
0
0
3
3-4
75%
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.2
23
21
13
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
3-5
60%
5-9
2-5
56%
44%
0-1
0%
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 26.0
20
21
8
7
1
1
1
1
1
0
7
0-0
-
4-6
3-7
67%
46%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.2
17
12
0
0
5
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-5
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 22.4
15
0
1-2
48%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 28.0
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.8
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 25.9
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 22.8
32
34
25
3
5
1
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
8-8
5-10
100%
49%
3-7
43%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 22.8
29
31
15
6
3
0
1
2
1
0
6
3-4
75%
6-7
3-6
86%
55%
0-2
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.0
29
18
18
3
13
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
5-10
3-5
50%
50%
2-3
67%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 26.6
28
30
9
7
2
0
1
0
3
1
6
1-2
50%
4-11
4-9
36%
51%
0-2
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.1
25
28
16
12
1
0
1
4
0
4
8
4-4
100%
6-10
5-9
60%
58%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 29.9
29
17
10
6
6
3
1
0
0
2
4
2-2
100%
1-5
1-2
20%
48%
2-3
67%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 20.3
19
3
7
4
1
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
52%
1-4
25%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.6
16
19
13
7
2
1
1
2
2
5
2
3-4
75%
5-8
4-7
63%
54%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 30.7
15
14
2
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
54%
0-2
0%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27.6
6
5
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 34.5
5
2
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
46%
0-2
0%
Jarell Eddie
G-F · 6'7" 218 · 24.4
5
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-3
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 28.8
6
0
1-1
48%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.6
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.