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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 8, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Heat47%102109
19Magic53%104112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 31.0
32.2
31.4
10
71%
10
1
0
1
0
1
3
7
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
49%
2-3
67%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.2
31.4
25.4
17
41%
1
5
1
1
0
3
1
0
3-4
75%
7-16
6-13
44%
49%
0-3
0%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.9
30.4
30.0
15
44%
8
6
1
1
0
4
5
3
2-2
100%
5-13
5-10
38%
53%
1-3
33%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 34.8
26.8
30.5
13
50%
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
5-9
3-6
56%
47%
1-4
25%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.4
10.9
15.2
4
67%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
54%
0-0
-
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.6
32.7
30.6
13
51%
5
4
1
1
1
1
4
1
3-4
75%
2-6
2-5
33%
47%
2-5
40%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.8
28.1
27.5
13
43%
16
0
0
1
4
0
7
9
1-7
14%
6-12
6-10
50%
60%
0-0
-
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.0
23.2
28.1
6
50%
4
0
3
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.2
15.4
8.9
11
58%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
47%
2-4
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.8
8.9
5.1
7
66%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-3
33%
3-4
1-1
75%
46%
0-0
-
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23.9
7.8
0
1-2
49%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.1
5.7
0
0-1
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.4
46.2
31.4
28
75%
7
7
1
1
0
3
1
6
12-15
80%
5-9
4-8
56%
51%
2-3
67%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 22.1
37.0
29.5
16
53%
3
10
1
1
0
3
0
3
4-7
57%
6-10
4-9
60%
47%
0-2
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 6'10" 260 · 25.5
35.1
26.8
29
64%
6
1
1
1
2
1
3
3
5-6
83%
12-20
8-14
60%
52%
0-0
-
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.9
28.1
34.9
13
54%
4
1
0
2
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
5-11
5-11
45%
49%
1-1
100%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.9
24.0
6.2
4
40%
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
48%
0-2
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.0
29.0
8.9
7
70%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 21.1
22.9
19.5
9
64%
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
51%
1-2
50%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30.1
12.8
13.3
6
38%
3
0
0
0
4
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
49%
0-0
-
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.5
4.7
4.1
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.3
19.6
0
3-5
53%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 26.5
16.3
1
1-3
43%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 26.7
10.5
0
1-3
55%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.7
4.1
0
0-1
41%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'8" 235 · 20.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.