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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 8, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Bucks25%100109
10Celtics75%109124
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashad Vaughn
G · 6'6" 202 · 19.6
40
31
12
2
3
2
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
38%
2-7
29%
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 21.6
38
26
9
6
11
2
1
0
3
2
4
3-4
75%
3-10
3-7
30%
44%
0-1
0%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.1
29
38
18
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
2-3
67%
8-17
7-14
47%
50%
0-1
0%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 25.8
28
24
10
8
4
0
1
0
3
2
6
2-4
50%
4-6
5-10
67%
50%
0-0
-
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 21.3
27
37
27
7
7
1
1
1
5
0
7
7-8
88%
4-7
7-13
57%
51%
4-5
80%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.6
20
20
16
5
1
3
1
0
2
1
4
4-6
67%
6-8
3-6
75%
54%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 25.3
17
12
5
4
1
1
0
3
1
0
4
1-2
50%
2-6
2-4
33%
55%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 29.2
15
7
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-1
0%
1-1
1-1
100%
44%
1-2
50%
Damien Inglis
F · 6'8" 246 · 20.9
15
7
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 22.9
11
20
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
42%
0-0
-
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 24.7
16
1
2-5
46%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.6
9
0
1-1
43%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.4
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 24.5
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 32.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.4
25
33
16
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-4
50%
4-7
4-9
57%
51%
2-3
67%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 27.2
25
31
20
2
3
0
1
2
2
0
2
5-5
100%
6-7
6-11
86%
50%
1-2
50%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 24.1
19
21
15
5
3
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-2
0%
6-10
4-8
60%
50%
1-2
50%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 28.9
15
24
4
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
62%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.8
14
28
9
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
4-5
80%
1-3
3-6
33%
55%
1-4
25%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 27.4
32
33
4
4
9
1
1
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
5-10
33%
49%
0-0
-
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.1
27
29
4
1
9
2
2
1
2
0
1
4-4
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.2
25
10
26
3
2
0
0
4
0
1
2
8-9
89%
9-15
2-4
60%
53%
0-0
-
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 25.0
23
15
16
7
1
2
1
0
1
0
7
5-7
71%
4-4
2-4
100%
53%
1-1
100%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 29.1
22
17
6
7
3
1
1
1
1
2
5
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.1
6
16
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
0-0
-
RJ Hunter
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.5
3
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 21.7
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 20.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.