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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 8, 2016
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Grizzlies35%10093
12Mavericks65%105103
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 36.1
38
34
11
7
5
2
1
0
2
0
7
2-2
100%
0-3
3-6
0%
49%
3-8
38%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 34.2
37
23
25
7
1
3
2
1
2
5
2
9-9
100%
8-14
3-7
57%
49%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.7
32
30
13
6
2
0
1
0
3
3
3
1-1
100%
6-19
7-14
32%
48%
0-1
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 29.4
26
24
11
2
2
0
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
3-4
75%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.8
21
19
3
7
1
1
0
0
0
3
4
1-2
50%
1-2
2-3
50%
59%
0-1
0%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 25.6
25
16
10
6
5
0
0
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
5-9
3-6
56%
49%
0-1
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 39.2
17
22
6
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Xavier Munford
G · 6'4" 173 · 23.9
15
20
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
45%
0-2
0%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 25.8
14
26
7
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
3-7
4-9
43%
50%
0-1
0%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 21.9
11
14
4
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-2
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
0-0
-
PJ Hairston
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.3
6
6
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-2
0%
Bryce Cotton
G · 6'1" 165 · 23.7
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 21.8
3
0
0-1
45%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.5
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 31.2
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.5
44
36
11
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
49%
3-6
50%
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 22.4
38
22
19
10
0
1
1
3
2
2
8
8-8
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
52%
3-5
60%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 37.8
34
31
21
3
2
1
1
0
3
0
3
7-8
88%
4-6
5-10
67%
50%
2-6
33%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 32.2
22
22
1
4
0
2
1
1
0
1
3
1-2
50%
0-0
2-5
-
48%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.8
8
33
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
5-10
67%
49%
0-3
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 31.8
36
20
11
6
14
2
1
0
3
1
5
4-5
80%
2-7
2-4
29%
47%
1-5
20%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 33.1
26
28
16
4
0
1
1
0
6
0
4
5-7
71%
1-2
2-5
50%
52%
3-5
60%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.9
16
17
8
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-1
0%
4-4
3-6
100%
53%
0-0
-
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 29.8
13
16
9
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
3-4
75%
3-3
2-3
100%
58%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 31.6
2
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 24.7
1
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.8
9
0
1-2
47%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.2
4
0
1-1
57%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 28.5
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.