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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 9, 2016
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Cavaliers63%108102
17Bulls37%103105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.0
38.6
29.7
11
32%
4
8
2
1
0
4
2
2
0-0
-
4-15
5-10
27%
50%
1-2
50%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.3
38.5
32.2
33
88%
7
3
0
1
1
4
3
4
3-4
75%
9-12
8-14
75%
56%
4-5
80%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.6
36.9
26.6
24
69%
6
4
1
1
0
1
1
5
1-3
33%
1-2
2-3
50%
46%
7-14
50%
Kevin Love
F-C · 6'8" 251 · 27.6
35.7
24.2
20
52%
13
3
0
1
0
3
3
10
4-5
80%
2-8
3-6
25%
49%
4-9
44%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 25.1
30.9
23.4
3
32%
8
3
0
0
3
0
3
5
1-4
25%
1-3
2-4
33%
56%
0-0
-
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.6
26.7
19.7
3
25%
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
1-5
20%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 32.9
14.8
18.5
6
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
2-5
40%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 35.8
9.8
18.3
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 29.7
8.0
16.9
2
114%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
56%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 25.8
26.0
1
1-3
45%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.5
6.6
0
0-0
41%
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 25.0
5.1
0
0-1
46%
Sasha Kaun
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.9
3.8
0
0-1
53%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.6
38.5
35.9
21
55%
2
6
3
2
0
2
1
1
5-5
100%
5-14
5-11
36%
49%
2-3
67%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.5
32.1
30.5
10
36%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
5-12
6-13
42%
47%
0-2
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 35.6
26.0
19.1
6
40%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
1-5
20%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 35.8
24.6
31.0
11
60%
12
1
1
0
1
3
3
9
3-5
60%
4-7
5-11
57%
49%
0-0
-
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 25.2
17.3
27.3
13
59%
6
0
1
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
3-7
43%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.2
28.8
17.0
6
29%
10
0
0
0
0
1
5
5
0-1
0%
3-9
3-6
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 23.8
23.5
13.9
16
102%
5
1
0
0
2
2
2
3
2-2
100%
7-7
1-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 27.0
22.4
22.0
7
43%
2
4
2
1
1
0
0
2
5-5
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-3
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 31.2
15.9
11.1
9
75%
1
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
44%
1-2
50%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.3
10.9
20.9
6
61%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
1-1
100%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 27.1
23.8
1
3-5
48%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.8
8.1
0
1-2
51%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 24.4
4.1
0
0-1
44%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.1
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.