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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 10, 2016
5:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Jazz61%102100
21Nuggets39%9884
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 258 · 23.8
37.5
25.6
16
68%
14
1
0
1
6
1
5
9
6-11
55%
5-7
3-5
71%
58%
0-0
-
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 26.1
36.3
36.2
22
62%
9
5
2
1
1
0
2
7
4-4
100%
6-10
5-10
60%
49%
2-6
33%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 26.0
35.2
29.4
14
54%
3
6
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-9
4-7
44%
49%
2-4
50%
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 23.5
34.3
36.0
13
50%
5
2
3
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
2-8
4-7
25%
50%
3-5
60%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 20.4
32.2
17.7
22
69%
6
2
0
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
5-8
2-5
63%
49%
4-8
50%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.4
20.5
15.6
6
63%
5
1
1
1
1
0
3
2
4-4
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Alec Burks
G · 6'5" 214 · 24.7
14.0
17.3
0
0%
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Joe Ingles
F-G · 6'8" 220 · 28.5
10.0
19.8
3
38%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
1-4
25%
Raul Neto
G · 6'1" 179 · 23.9
8.8
13.2
4
52%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 26.1
5.8
3.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Chris Johnson
F · 6'6" 206 · 25.9
5.5
5.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 24.7
27.9
1
6-11
53%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 23.4
4.3
0
1-1
45%
Tibor Pleiss
C · 7'3" 256 · 26.4
Dante Exum
G · 6'5" 214 · 20.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.1
37.5
30.3
19
59%
3
5
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
5-10
4-9
50%
40%
3-6
50%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'11" 284 · 21.1
36.0
26.6
19
82%
11
4
2
1
1
1
3
8
5-6
83%
7-7
4-7
100%
52%
0-2
0%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.6
33.1
28.0
13
66%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
53%
1-3
33%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 290 · 21.6
21.9
25.7
6
23%
4
1
0
1
2
1
2
2
2-5
40%
2-11
5-10
18%
47%
0-0
-
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 23.1
13.5
22.8
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.3
34.5
28.8
10
46%
7
3
3
1
2
3
0
7
1-2
50%
3-6
3-7
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.5
22.9
18.2
10
42%
5
1
0
0
1
2
0
5
2-2
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
54%
0-2
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 28.4
18.1
18.0
2
35%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-2
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.0
12.0
11.3
5
31%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
1-5
20%
Axel Toupane
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.7
10.6
14.4
0
0%
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-2
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.4
12.4
0
2-5
54%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.1
7.7
0
0-0
42%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.2
5.7
0
0-1
46%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.9
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.