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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 10, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Warriors47%10592
2Spurs53%10686
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.1
35
34
37
5
5
2
2
0
4
0
5
7-7
100%
9-13
4-9
69%
50%
4-9
44%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 26.2
35
34
14
6
0
2
1
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
4-10
4-9
40%
47%
2-4
50%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.1
33
33
11
4
4
0
1
1
1
1
3
2-3
67%
3-3
4-7
100%
50%
1-2
50%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.9
33
31
9
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-4
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
1-5
20%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 31.4
23
20
4
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
54%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.2
28
21
3
7
3
1
1
1
0
1
6
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
52%
1-2
50%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 30.6
22
19
4
2
4
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
50%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.8
10
11
3
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 28.7
8
12
6
5
0
0
0
2
0
0
5
2-2
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.5
6
13
1
6
0
1
0
0
1
3
3
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.1
5
6
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.5
6
0
1-1
48%
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 23.3
5
0
1-1
48%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 33.4
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.8
39
23
20
13
5
2
1
3
0
6
7
6-7
86%
7-19
4-8
37%
54%
0-3
0%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.7
33
21
24
10
1
0
0
1
1
4
6
2-2
100%
11-18
5-10
61%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.9
29
18
4
2
4
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
50%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.6
29
24
4
10
3
2
1
0
1
4
6
0-1
0%
2-7
4-8
29%
52%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.8
25
18
2
2
2
1
1
0
4
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-6
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.7
21
21
7
2
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
49%
1-4
25%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.7
20
19
8
1
3
3
1
1
1
1
0
3-4
75%
1-5
2-4
20%
50%
1-2
50%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 33.2
19
17
9
3
0
0
0
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
1-2
50%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.6
18
25
4
8
1
0
1
0
0
0
8
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
49%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.7
6
10
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-1
0%
2-4
2-3
50%
56%
0-0
-
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.6
19
1
2-4
51%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 40.1
13
0
2-3
51%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 36.0
10
0
1-1
50%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 34.0
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 40.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.