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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 12, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Thunder26%10098
2Spurs74%109102
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.3
42
22
17
5
4
1
1
1
4
1
4
6-7
86%
4-15
2-5
27%
42%
1-7
14%
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.7
40
11
17
3
7
1
0
0
6
1
2
0-0
-
7-14
1-2
50%
43%
1-6
17%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.7
38
25
17
9
0
0
1
2
2
6
3
3-3
100%
7-8
3-6
88%
56%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 35.5
30
9
6
9
4
1
0
0
3
3
6
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
47%
0-0
-
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.4
27
20
5
10
0
2
1
2
0
2
8
0-2
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
57%
1-2
50%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 23.9
38
20
17
16
0
1
0
0
3
5
11
4-4
100%
5-11
4-8
45%
52%
1-3
33%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.5
21
14
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5-5
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 32.6
17
18
8
1
3
0
0
0
3
0
1
4-4
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
39%
0-2
0%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.9
7
20
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
1-1
100%
Josh Huestis
G · 6'7" 230 · 24.3
5
12
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.5
29
1
5-10
52%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.4
27
1
4-9
46%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 38.6
3
0
0-1
41%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.6
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 23.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.8
39
29
26
5
5
2
2
2
3
1
4
5-8
63%
9-15
6-10
60%
55%
1-5
20%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.9
37
22
20
1
3
3
1
0
1
0
1
4-5
80%
8-14
3-7
57%
51%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 40.0
34
26
12
9
3
0
1
1
1
4
5
2-4
50%
5-14
4-7
36%
51%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.8
27
21
6
4
1
1
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
2-4
50%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.7
19
26
8
5
0
0
0
1
1
1
4
4-6
67%
2-5
6-12
40%
51%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.6
30
25
8
4
0
2
1
1
0
2
2
2-2
100%
3-11
4-8
27%
53%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.7
22
9
9
8
0
0
0
2
2
3
5
1-1
100%
4-5
2-3
80%
57%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.6
20
22
4
5
0
2
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
50%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.7
16
21
7
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 33.2
15
17
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.6
5
13
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 40.1
10
0
1-2
52%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 36.0
7
0
0-1
52%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.7
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 34.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.