Final Win Prob. pScore
526%100
98
274%108
102
ORTG#PossPace
OKC logo Thunder
100.09889.8
SAS logo Spurs
102.010089.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

SpursThunderQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

SpursThunderQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventOKCSAS
OT1 - 0:00.0SAS98
102
OT1 - 0:09.0OKCWaiters Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P4.T21)98
102
OT1 - 0:12.0OKCSUB: Morrow FOR Roberson98
102
OT1 - 0:12.0SASSUB: Green FOR Duncan98
102
OT1 - 0:12.0OKCThunder Timeout: Regular (Reg.8 Short 1)98
102
OT1 - 0:12.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)98
102
OT1 - 0:12.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)98
101
OT1 - 0:12.0OKCPayne P.FOUL (P4.PN) (M.Lindsay)98
100
OT1 - 0:13.0SASSUB: Duncan FOR Marjanovic98
100
OT1 - 0:13.0OKCPayne Personal Take Foul (P3.T2) (J.Tiven)98
100
OT1 - 0:17.0SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)98
100
OT1 - 0:18.0OKCMISS Waiters 20' Step Back Jump Shot98
100
OT1 - 0:36.0SASWest L.B.FOUL (P4.T3) (J.Tiven)98
100
OT1 - 0:36.0OKCThunder Rebound98
100
OT1 - 0:37.0OKCMISS Payne 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup98
100
OT1 - 0:49.0SASLeonard 15' Pullup Jump Shot (26 PTS)98
100
OT1 - 1:07OKCAdams 6' Floating Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Payne 7 AST)98
98
OT1 - 1:24OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)96
98
OT1 - 1:24SASMISS Parker 7' Turnaround Jump Shot96
98
OT1 - 1:33SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)96
98
OT1 - 1:34OKCMISS Waiters 3' Layup96
98
OT1 - 1:45SASLeonard Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)96
98
OT1 - 2:03SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
98
OT1 - 2:04OKCMISS Payne 27' 3PT Jump Shot96
98
OT1 - 2:22SASSUB: West FOR Duncan96
98
OT1 - 2:22OKCThunder Timeout: Regular (Reg.7 Short 1)96
98
OT1 - 2:22OKCKanter REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)96
98
OT1 - 2:23SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 296
98
OT1 - 2:23SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)96
98
OT1 - 2:23OKCPayne S.FOUL (P2.T1) (J.Tiven)96
97
OT1 - 2:47SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)96
97
OT1 - 2:48OKCMISS Waiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
97
OT1 - 2:58SASSUB: Anderson FOR Green96
97
OT1 - 2:58SASGreen P.FOUL (P5.T2) (D.Stafford)96
97
OT1 - 3:00SASLeonard 14' Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS)96
97
OT1 - 3:14OKCPayne 3' Driving Layup (17 PTS)96
95
OT1 - 3:45OKCKanter REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)94
95
OT1 - 3:46SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup94
95
OT1 - 4:05OKCWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)94
95
OT1 - 4:05OKCThunder Rebound93
95
OT1 - 4:05OKCMISS Waiters Free Throw 1 of 293
95
OT1 - 4:05SASMarjanovic S.FOUL (P1.T1) (J.Tiven)93
95
OT1 - 4:17SASLeonard 9' Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS)93
95
OT1 - 4:31SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
93
OT1 - 4:31OKCMISS Kanter 3PT Jump Shot93
93
OT1 - 4:42OKCWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)93
93
OT1 - 4:42SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot93
93
OT1 - 5:00SASJump Ball Marjanovic vs. Adams: Tip to Duncan93
93
OT1 - 5:0093
93
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS93
93
Q4 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound93
93
Q4 - 0:01.0SASMISS Leonard 11' Jump Shot93
93
Q4 - 0:16.0SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)93
93
Q4 - 0:16.0OKCWaiters Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)93
93
Q4 - 0:16.0SASWest S.FOUL (P3.PN) (J.Tiven)92
93
Q4 - 0:16.0OKCWaiters 4' Driving Layup (15 PTS)92
93
Q4 - 0:20.0OKCPayne REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
93
Q4 - 0:21.0OKCMISS Payne 4' Jump Shot90
93
Q4 - 0:31.0OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)90
93
Q4 - 0:31.0SASMISS Leonard 28' 3PT Jump Shot90
93
Q4 - 0:56.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
93
Q4 - 0:56.0OKCMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
93
Q4 - 1:03OKCThunder Rebound90
93
Q4 - 1:04OKCLeonard BLOCK (2 BLK)90
93
Q4 - 1:11OKCThunder Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 1)90
93
Q4 - 1:11OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)90
93
Q4 - 1:12SASMISS Leonard 11' Jump Shot90
93
Q4 - 1:28OKCWaiters Driving Dunk (13 PTS)90
93
Q4 - 1:32OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)88
93
Q4 - 1:33OKCMISS Payne 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
93
Q4 - 1:52SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)88
93
Q4 - 1:52SASSPURS Rebound88
92
Q4 - 1:52SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 288
92
Q4 - 1:52OKCAdams S.FOUL (P5.T4) (D.Stafford)88
92
Q4 - 2:12OKCWest STEAL (2 STL)88
92
Q4 - 2:17OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)88
92
Q4 - 2:19OKCMISS Waiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
92
Q4 - 2:22OKCWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
92
Q4 - 2:22OKCMISS Roberson Free Throw 2 of 288
92
Q4 - 2:22OKCThunder Rebound88
92
Q4 - 2:22OKCMISS Roberson Free Throw 1 of 288
92
Q4 - 2:22SASGreen S.FOUL (P4.T4) (J.Tiven)88
92
Q4 - 2:47SASSUB: Duncan FOR Marjanovic88
92
Q4 - 2:47OKCThunder Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)88
92
Q4 - 2:50SASParker 3' Driving Layup (17 PTS)88
92
Q4 - 2:58SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)88
90
Q4 - 2:59OKCMISS Kanter 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
90
Q4 - 3:14SASMarjanovic Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)88
90
Q4 - 3:14SASJump Ball Marjanovic vs. Roberson: Tip to Adams88
90
Q4 - 3:17SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)88
90
Q4 - 3:18SASMISS Leonard 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot88
90
Q4 - 3:38OKCParker STEAL (3 STL)88
90
Q4 - 3:51SASLeonard 4' Driving Bank Shot (20 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)88
90
Q4 - 4:03OKCKanter Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)88
88
Q4 - 4:03OKCSUB: Payne FOR Morrow87
88
Q4 - 4:03OKCKanter Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)87
88
Q4 - 4:03SASWest S.FOUL (P2.T3) (J.Tiven)86
88
Q4 - 4:05OKCKanter REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)86
88
Q4 - 4:07OKCMISS Morrow 18' Jump Shot86
88
Q4 - 4:27SASLeonard 17' Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS)86
88
Q4 - 4:44OKCMorrow Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)86
86
Q4 - 4:44OKCMorrow Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)85
86
Q4 - 4:44OKCMorrow Free Throw 1 of 3 (6 PTS)84
86
Q4 - 4:44SASGreen S.FOUL (P3.T2) (D.Stafford)83
86
Q4 - 5:05SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)83
86
Q4 - 5:05SASSUB: West FOR Duncan83
85
Q4 - 5:05OKCRoberson S.FOUL (P3.T3) (M.Lindsay)83
85
Q4 - 5:05SASParker 14' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)83
85
Q4 - 5:23SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)83
83
Q4 - 5:23SASMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
83
Q4 - 5:31SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)83
83
Q4 - 5:32OKCMarjanovic BLOCK (2 BLK)83
83
Q4 - 5:53SASMarjanovic Dunk (9 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)83
83
Q4 - 5:59OKCSUB: Roberson FOR Foye83
81
Q4 - 5:59SASSPURS Rebound83
81
Q4 - 6:00SASMISS Marjanovic 8' Turnaround Jump Shot83
81
Q4 - 6:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)83
81
Q4 - 6:16OKCMarjanovic BLOCK (1 BLK)83
81
Q4 - 6:33SASMarjanovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)83
81
Q4 - 6:48OKCWaiters 5' Driving Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS)83
81
Q4 - 7:01OKCFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
81
Q4 - 7:02SASMISS Leonard 3PT Jump Shot81
81
Q4 - 7:25OKCWaiters Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T18)81
81
Q4 - 7:31OKCKanter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)81
81
Q4 - 7:31SASMISS Duncan 2' Driving Layup81
81
Q4 - 7:54OKCWaiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Foye 3 AST)81
81
Q4 - 8:02OKCKanter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)78
81
Q4 - 8:02OKCMISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
81
Q4 - 8:22OKCSUB: Kanter FOR Collison78
81
Q4 - 8:22SASSUB: Green FOR Anderson78
81
Q4 - 8:22OKCThunder Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)78
81
Q4 - 8:25SASDuncan 5' Hook Shot (11 PTS)78
81
Q4 - 8:26SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)78
79
Q4 - 8:27SASMISS Parker 7' Jump Shot78
79
Q4 - 8:44OKCFoye Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)78
79
Q4 - 8:55SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)78
79
Q4 - 8:55SASSUB: Parker FOR Mills78
78
Q4 - 8:55SASSUB: Leonard FOR Martin78
78
Q4 - 8:55SASSPURS Rebound78
78
Q4 - 8:55SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 278
78
Q4 - 8:55OKCCollison S.FOUL (P5.T2) (J.Tiven)78
78
Q4 - 8:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)78
78
Q4 - 8:59SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Bank Shot78
78
Q4 - 9:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
78
Q4 - 9:10OKCMISS Foye 16' Jump Shot78
78
Q4 - 9:23SASMarjanovic Dunk (7 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)78
78
Q4 - 9:40OKCAdams 6' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Foye 2 AST)78
76
Q4 - 10:08SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
76
Q4 - 10:08SASMarjanovic 1' Tip Layup Shot (5 PTS)76
76
Q4 - 10:09SASMISS Mills 20' Jump Shot76
74
Q4 - 10:21SASSUB: Duncan FOR West76
74
Q4 - 10:21SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)76
74
Q4 - 10:23OKCFoye 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)76
74
Q4 - 10:34OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)74
74
Q4 - 10:35SASMISS Mills 2' Driving Reverse Layup74
74
Q4 - 10:55OKCFoye Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)74
74
Q4 - 10:55OKCSUB: Adams FOR Kanter73
74
Q4 - 10:55OKCFoye Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)73
74
Q4 - 10:55SASWest S.FOUL (P1.T1) (D.Stafford)72
74
Q4 - 11:07OKCKanter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)72
74
Q4 - 11:08SASMISS West 3' Driving Layup72
74
Q4 - 11:29OKCKanter P.FOUL (P2.T1) (J.Tiven)72
74
Q4 - 11:31SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
74
Q4 - 11:32OKCMISS Morrow 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
74
Q4 - 11:38OKCKanter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)72
74
Q4 - 11:38OKCMISS Kanter 2' Putback Layup72
74
Q4 - 11:40OKCKanter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)72
74
Q4 - 11:41OKCMISS Morrow 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
74
Q4 - 12:0072
74
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS72
74
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound72
74
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
74
Q3 - 0:02.0OKCMartin STEAL (2 STL)72
74
Q3 - 0:03.0SASMills Personal Take Foul (P2.T4) (D.Stafford)72
74
Q3 - 0:08.0SASMarjanovic Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)72
74
Q3 - 0:08.0OKCMorrow S.FOUL (P1.PN) (J.Tiven)72
73
Q3 - 0:08.0SASMarjanovic 3' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Mills 3 AST)72
73
Q3 - 0:27.0SASWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
71
Q3 - 0:28.0OKCWest BLOCK (1 BLK)72
71
Q3 - 0:39.0SASAnderson 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)72
71
Q3 - 0:55.0OKCKanter 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Payne 6 AST)72
69
Q3 - 1:05SASWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)70
69
Q3 - 1:05SASWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)70
68
Q3 - 1:05OKCKanter S.FOUL (P1.PN) (D.Stafford)70
67
Q3 - 1:07SASWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)70
67
Q3 - 1:07SASMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
67
Q3 - 1:28SASSPURS Rebound70
67
Q3 - 1:30SASMISS West 18' Jump Shot70
67
Q3 - 1:40SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
67
Q3 - 1:41OKCMISS Collison 2' Driving Layup70
67
Q3 - 2:00OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)70
67
Q3 - 2:00SASMISS Anderson 15' Jump Shot70
67
Q3 - 2:09SASWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
67
Q3 - 2:10OKCMISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
67
Q3 - 2:14OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)70
67
Q3 - 2:15OKCMISS Payne 15' Jump Shot70
67
Q3 - 2:27SASMills Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)70
67
Q3 - 2:27OKCSUB: Morrow FOR Roberson70
66
Q3 - 2:27SASMills Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)70
66
Q3 - 2:27OKCFoye S.FOUL (P1.PN) (M.Lindsay)70
65
Q3 - 2:34OKCWest STEAL (1 STL)70
65
Q3 - 2:43OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
65
Q3 - 2:44SASMISS West Dunk70
65
Q3 - 2:46SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)70
65
Q3 - 2:47SASMISS West 18' Jump Shot70
65
Q3 - 2:57OKCMartin STEAL (1 STL)70
65
Q3 - 3:06SASMills Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)70
65
Q3 - 3:06SASMills Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)70
64
Q3 - 3:06OKCPayne P.FOUL (P1.PN) (D.Stafford)70
63
Q3 - 3:16OKCPayne 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS)70
63
Q3 - 3:21SASSUB: Anderson FOR Leonard68
63
Q3 - 3:21SASMills Foul Turnover (P1.T8)68
63
Q3 - 3:28SASMills OFF.Foul (P1) (J.Tiven)68
63
Q3 - 3:34OKCPayne Traveling Turnover (P5.T13)68
63
Q3 - 3:52SASMills 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)68
63
Q3 - 4:07OKCKanter Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)68
60
Q3 - 4:23OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
60
Q3 - 4:23SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 2 of 268
60
Q3 - 4:23SASSUB: Martin FOR Green68
60
Q3 - 4:23OKCSUB: Foye FOR Waiters68
60
Q3 - 4:23OKCSUB: Collison FOR Adams68
60
Q3 - 4:23SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)68
60
Q3 - 4:23OKCAdams S.FOUL (P4.T4) (M.Lindsay)68
59
Q3 - 4:36SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
59
Q3 - 4:37OKCMISS Waiters 1' Driving Layup68
59
Q3 - 4:46OKCKanter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)68
59
Q3 - 4:46SASMISS Mills 3PT Jump Shot68
59
Q3 - 5:12OKCKanter 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Payne 5 AST)68
59
Q3 - 5:18OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
59
Q3 - 5:19SASMISS West 6' Jump Shot66
59
Q3 - 5:29SASSUB: Marjanovic FOR Duncan66
59
Q3 - 5:29SASSUB: Mills FOR Parker66
59
Q3 - 5:43OKCRoberson 2' Putback Layup (5 PTS)66
59
Q3 - 5:45OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
59
Q3 - 5:46OKCMISS Waiters 3PT Jump Shot64
59
Q3 - 5:54OKCPayne REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
59
Q3 - 5:55SASMISS Duncan 2' Driving Layup64
59
Q3 - 6:09OKCAdams 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Payne 4 AST)64
59
Q3 - 6:10OKCThunder Rebound62
59
Q3 - 6:11OKCGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)62
59
Q3 - 6:20SASLeonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)62
59
Q3 - 6:22SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
56
Q3 - 6:24SASMISS West 7' Jump Shot62
56
Q3 - 6:42SASSPURS Rebound62
56
Q3 - 6:43SASMISS Leonard 2' Layup62
56
Q3 - 7:01SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
56
Q3 - 7:01OKCMISS Waiters 20' Jump Shot62
56
Q3 - 7:01SASLeonard P.FOUL (P3.T3) (M.Lindsay)62
56
Q3 - 7:14SASLeonard 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS)62
56
Q3 - 7:28OKCAdams Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)62
54
Q3 - 7:28SASDuncan S.FOUL (P2.T2) (M.Lindsay)61
54
Q3 - 7:28OKCAdams 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Waiters 4 AST)61
54
Q3 - 7:41OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)59
54
Q3 - 7:42SASMISS Parker 10' Jump Shot59
54
Q3 - 7:52SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
54
Q3 - 7:53OKCMISS Payne 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot59
54
Q3 - 8:09SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)59
54
Q3 - 8:09OKCSUB: Kanter FOR Collison59
53
Q3 - 8:09SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)59
53
Q3 - 8:09OKCCollison S.FOUL (P4.T3) (M.Lindsay)59
52
Q3 - 8:17OKCRoberson P.FOUL (P2.T2) (J.Tiven)59
52
Q3 - 8:35OKCAdams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)59
52
Q3 - 8:53SASParker 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)59
52
Q3 - 9:05SASSUB: West FOR Aldridge59
50
Q3 - 9:05SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)59
50
Q3 - 9:10OKCPayne 6' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Collison 4 AST)59
50
Q3 - 9:10SASGreen Personal Block Foul (P2.T1) (D.Stafford)57
50
Q3 - 9:20OKCWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
50
Q3 - 9:21SASMISS Leonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
50
Q3 - 9:35SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
50
Q3 - 9:36OKCMISS Waiters 15' Step Back Jump Shot57
50
Q3 - 9:54OKCWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
50
Q3 - 9:55SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot57
50
Q3 - 10:02OKCCollison P.FOUL (P3.T1) (J.Tiven)57
50
Q3 - 10:21OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
50
Q3 - 10:21OKCCollison 2' Tip Layup Shot (6 PTS)57
50
Q3 - 10:22OKCMISS Roberson 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
50
Q3 - 10:37SASGreen 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Leonard 5 AST)55
50
Q3 - 10:54OKCAdams 7' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)55
47
Q3 - 11:07OKCThunder Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)53
47
Q3 - 11:11SASParker 19' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)53
47
Q3 - 11:19SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
45
Q3 - 11:20OKCMISS Payne 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
45
Q3 - 11:42SASParker 20' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)53
45
Q3 - 12:0053
43
Q2 - 0:00.0OKC53
43
Q2 - 0:00.0OKCThunder Rebound53
43
Q2 - 0:00.0OKCMISS Huestis 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
43
Q2 - 0:06.0SASLeonard P.FOUL (P2.T3) (J.Tiven)53
43
Q2 - 0:18.0OKCThunder Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)53
43
Q2 - 0:24.0SASWest 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)53
43
Q2 - 0:34.0OKCPayne 18' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)53
41
Q2 - 0:44.0SASAldridge Foul Turnover (P1.T7)51
41
Q2 - 0:44.0SASAldridge OFF.Foul (P1) (D.Stafford)51
41
Q2 - 0:54.0OKCKanter 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Collison 3 AST)51
41
Q2 - 0:57.0OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
41
Q2 - 0:58.0OKCLeonard BLOCK (1 BLK)49
41
Q2 - 1:22SASWest 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)49
41
Q2 - 1:25SASWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)49
39
Q2 - 1:25SASMISS Leonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
39
Q2 - 1:40OKCKanter 2' Putback Layup (9 PTS)49
39
Q2 - 1:43OKCKanter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
39
Q2 - 1:44OKCMISS Waiters 19' Jump Shot47
39
Q2 - 1:57SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)47
39
Q2 - 1:57SASSUB: Anderson FOR Green47
38
Q2 - 1:57SASSUB: Mills FOR Parker47
38
Q2 - 1:57SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)47
38
Q2 - 1:57OKCCollison P.FOUL (P2.PN) (M.Lindsay)47
37
Q2 - 2:02OKCParker STEAL (2 STL)47
37
Q2 - 2:11OKCWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
37
Q2 - 2:11SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot47
37
Q2 - 2:24OKCWaiters 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Payne 3 AST)47
37
Q2 - 2:40SASLeonard 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)45
37
Q2 - 2:53SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
35
Q2 - 2:53OKCMISS Payne 12' Jump Shot45
35
Q2 - 3:30OKCKanter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)45
35
Q2 - 3:31SASMISS Leonard 8' Jump Shot45
35
Q2 - 3:43SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
35
Q2 - 3:43OKCMISS Huestis 15' Pullup Jump Shot45
35
Q2 - 3:43SASSUB: Green FOR Anderson45
35
Q2 - 3:43OKCThunder Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)45
35
Q2 - 3:53SASAldridge 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS)45
35
Q2 - 4:10SASSUB: West FOR Duncan45
33
Q2 - 4:10SASSUB: Leonard FOR Simmons45
33
Q2 - 4:10OKCAnderson STEAL (2 STL)45
33
Q2 - 4:16OKCHuestis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
33
Q2 - 4:16SASMISS Anderson 9' Hook Shot45
33
Q2 - 4:24SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
33
Q2 - 4:24OKCMISS Waiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
33
Q2 - 4:33OKCKanter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
33
Q2 - 4:33SASMISS Aldridge 1' Layup45
33
Q2 - 4:48OKCParker STEAL (1 STL)45
33
Q2 - 5:11SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)45
33
Q2 - 5:11OKCSUB: Collison FOR Adams45
32
Q2 - 5:11SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)45
32
Q2 - 5:11OKCAdams S.FOUL (P3.T4) (D.Stafford)45
31
Q2 - 5:25OKCWaiters P.FOUL (P1.T3) (D.Stafford)45
31
Q2 - 5:28OKCSUB: Huestis FOR Foye45
31
Q2 - 5:28OKCSUB: Waiters FOR Singler45
31
Q2 - 5:28SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)45
31
Q2 - 5:28OKCAdams L.B.FOUL (P2.T2) (J.Tiven)45
31
Q2 - 5:28SASSPURS Rebound45
31
Q2 - 5:31SASMISS Simmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
31
Q2 - 5:46SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
31
Q2 - 5:46OKCMISS Foye 21' Jump Shot45
31
Q2 - 6:05SASSimmons 2' Layup (2 PTS)45
31
Q2 - 6:16OKCPayne 14' Step Back Jump Shot (9 PTS)45
29
Q2 - 6:30SASAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)43
29
Q2 - 6:30SASAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)43
28
Q2 - 6:30OKCSUB: Payne FOR Morrow43
27
Q2 - 6:30OKCSingler S.FOUL (P1.T1) (D.Stafford)43
27
Q2 - 6:41OKCMorrow Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)43
27
Q2 - 6:41OKCSUB: Kanter FOR Collison42
27
Q2 - 6:41SASSUB: Aldridge FOR Marjanovic42
27
Q2 - 6:41OKCMorrow Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)42
27
Q2 - 6:41SASSimmons S.FOUL (P1.T2) (D.Stafford)41
27
Q2 - 7:03SASParker 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)41
27
Q2 - 7:11SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
25
Q2 - 7:11OKCMISS Foye 19' Jump Shot41
25
Q2 - 7:40SASParker 9' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)41
25
Q2 - 7:5941
23
Q2 - 7:59OKCAdams 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)41
23
Q2 - 8:19OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)41
23
Q2 - 8:19SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot41
23
Q2 - 8:37OKCFoye 17' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)41
23
Q2 - 8:51OKCSingler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
23
Q2 - 8:51SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup39
23
Q2 - 9:02OKCAnderson STEAL (1 STL)39
23
Q2 - 9:12SASAnderson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)39
23
Q2 - 9:31OKCFoye Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)39
23
Q2 - 9:31OKCSUB: Adams FOR Kanter38
23
Q2 - 9:31SASSUB: Simmons FOR Martin38
23
Q2 - 9:31SASSUB: Marjanovic FOR West38
23
Q2 - 9:31OKCFoye Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)38
23
Q2 - 9:31SASParker S.FOUL (P2.T1) (D.Stafford)37
23
Q2 - 9:43OKCKanter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
23
Q2 - 9:44SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup37
23
Q2 - 10:03OKCCollison 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Foye 1 AST)37
23
Q2 - 10:12OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
23
Q2 - 10:12SASMISS Anderson 8' Jump Shot35
23
Q2 - 10:31OKCFoye Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T5)35
23
Q2 - 10:43OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
23
Q2 - 10:44SASMISS West 16' Jump Shot35
23
Q2 - 10:59OKCSingler 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)35
23
Q2 - 11:19SASDuncan 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)32
23
Q2 - 11:31SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
21
Q2 - 11:32OKCMISS Kanter 9' Turnaround Jump Shot32
21
Q2 - 11:51SASParker Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T5)32
21
Q2 - 12:0032
21
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS32
21
Q1 - 0:09.0OKCLeonard STEAL (2 STL)32
21
Q1 - 0:11.0SASMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)32
21
Q1 - 0:12.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
21
Q1 - 0:13.0SASMISS Martin 10' Jump Shot32
21
Q1 - 0:27.0OKCPayne 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)32
21
Q1 - 0:36.0SASLeonard Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)29
21
Q1 - 0:46.0OKCKanter Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)29
21
Q1 - 0:46.0OKCKanter Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)28
21
Q1 - 0:46.0SASMartin S.FOUL (P1.PN) (M.Lindsay)27
21
Q1 - 0:48.0OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
21
Q1 - 0:51.0SASMISS Duncan 3' Running Layup27
21
Q1 - 0:57.0SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
21
Q1 - 0:57.0OKCMISS Morrow 17' Jump Shot27
21
Q1 - 1:05OKCKanter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
21
Q1 - 1:05SASMISS Leonard 7' Hook Shot27
21
Q1 - 1:26OKCWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)27
21
Q1 - 1:26OKCWaiters Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
21
Q1 - 1:26SASDuncan S.FOUL (P1.T3) (J.Tiven)25
21
Q1 - 1:51SASDuncan 9' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Leonard 4 AST)25
21
Q1 - 2:00OKCKanter Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)25
19
Q1 - 2:15OKCSUB: Collison FOR Adams25
19
Q1 - 2:15SASSUB: Duncan FOR Aldridge25
19
Q1 - 2:15OKCThunder Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)25
19
Q1 - 2:15SASLeonard Foul Turnover (P1.T2)25
19
Q1 - 2:15SASLeonard OFF.Foul (P1) (D.Stafford)25
19
Q1 - 2:43OKCPayne 10' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
19
Q1 - 2:51OKCKanter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
19
Q1 - 2:51SASMISS West 9' Jump Shot23
19
Q1 - 3:09OKCAdams Putback Layup (6 PTS)23
19
Q1 - 3:12OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)21
19
Q1 - 3:13OKCMISS Waiters 1' Layup21
19
Q1 - 3:23OKCKanter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
19
Q1 - 3:23SASMISS Aldridge 19' Jump Shot21
19
Q1 - 3:35OKCKanter 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)21
19
Q1 - 3:57OKCPayne REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
19
Q1 - 3:57SASMISS Mills 1' Alley Oop Layup18
19
Q1 - 4:07SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
19
Q1 - 4:07OKCMISS Morrow 16' Jump Shot18
19
Q1 - 4:27SASLeonard 1' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)18
19
Q1 - 4:34OKCLeonard STEAL (1 STL)18
17
Q1 - 4:49SASWest 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Leonard 3 AST)18
17
Q1 - 5:05OKCMorrow 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payne 2 AST)18
15
Q1 - 5:15SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
15
Q1 - 5:15SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
14
Q1 - 5:15OKCSUB: Morrow FOR Roberson15
13
Q1 - 5:15SASSUB: West FOR Duncan15
13
Q1 - 5:15SASSUB: Mills FOR Parker15
13
Q1 - 5:15SASSUB: Martin FOR Green15
13
Q1 - 5:15SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)15
13
Q1 - 5:15OKCAdams S.FOUL (P1.T3) (J.Tiven)15
13
Q1 - 5:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
13
Q1 - 5:33OKCMISS Payne 27' 3PT Jump Shot15
13
Q1 - 6:05SASLeonard 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)15
13
Q1 - 6:21OKCKanter 8' Driving Bank Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Payne 1 AST)15
11
Q1 - 6:21OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
11
Q1 - 6:21SASMISS Aldridge Free Throw 2 of 213
11
Q1 - 6:21OKCSUB: Kanter FOR Collison13
11
Q1 - 6:21SASSPURS Rebound13
11
Q1 - 6:21SASMISS Aldridge Free Throw 1 of 213
11
Q1 - 6:21OKCCollison S.FOUL (P1.T2) (J.Tiven)13
11
Q1 - 6:39OKCAdams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
11
Q1 - 6:39OKCAdams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
11
Q1 - 6:39SASGreen S.FOUL (P1.T2) (D.Stafford)11
11
Q1 - 6:41OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)11
11
Q1 - 6:42OKCAldridge BLOCK (1 BLK)11
11
Q1 - 6:55SASAldridge 7' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)11
11
Q1 - 7:06SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
9
Q1 - 7:06SASMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
9
Q1 - 7:24OKCWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
9
Q1 - 7:24OKCWaiters Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
9
Q1 - 7:24SASParker P.FOUL (P1.T1) (J.Tiven)9
9
Q1 - 7:51SASDuncan 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Green 1 AST)9
9
Q1 - 8:11SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
7
Q1 - 8:12OKCMISS Waiters 17' Pullup Jump Shot9
7
Q1 - 8:19OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)9
7
Q1 - 8:19SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot9
7
Q1 - 8:36OKCCollison 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)9
7
Q1 - 8:52SASParker 1' Running Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)7
7
Q1 - 8:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
5
Q1 - 8:58OKCDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)7
5
Q1 - 9:18SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
5
Q1 - 9:33OKCAdams Putback Dunk (2 PTS)7
5
Q1 - 9:38OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)5
5
Q1 - 9:38OKCMISS Payne 3PT Jump Shot5
5
Q1 - 9:55SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)5
5
Q1 - 10:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
2
Q1 - 10:00OKCMISS Adams Dunk5
2
Q1 - 10:03OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)5
2
Q1 - 10:04OKCMISS Waiters 2' Layup5
2
Q1 - 10:23OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
2
Q1 - 10:24OKCMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
2
Q1 - 10:39OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
2
Q1 - 10:39SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 2 of 25
2
Q1 - 10:39SASSPURS Rebound5
2
Q1 - 10:39SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 1 of 25
2
Q1 - 10:39OKCRoberson S.FOUL (P1.T1) (J.Tiven)5
2
Q1 - 10:46OKCGreen STEAL (1 STL)5
2
Q1 - 10:55SASDuncan 13' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)5
2
Q1 - 11:13OKCPayne 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)5
0
Q1 - 11:23OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
0
Q1 - 11:23SASMISS Aldridge 16' Jump Shot3
0
Q1 - 11:39OKCRoberson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)3
0
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Adams: Tip to Waiters0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventOKCSAS
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
0.99 49.5%
SAS
0.96 48.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
OKC
15
29
52%
SAS
16
29
55%
Midrange
OKC
14
33
42%
SAS
17
44
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
OKC
6
9.0
25
24%
36%
SAS
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
Free Throws
OKC
22
25
88%
SAS
24
32
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Waiters1734%8.5 / 25
C. Payne1743%8.5 / 20
S. Adams1794%8.5 / 9
E. Kanter1753%8.5 / 16
A. Morrow850%4.0 / 8
R. Foye844%4.0 / 9
N. Collison675%3.0 / 4
A. Roberson563%2.5 / 4
K. Singler3150%1.5 / 1
J. Huestis0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard2654%13.0 / 24
T. Parker2063%10.0 / 16
T. Duncan1238%6.0 / 16
B. Marjanovic990%4.5 / 5
L. Aldridge850%4.0 / 8
D. West833%4.0 / 12
P. Mills750%3.5 / 7
D. Green675%3.0 / 4
K. Anderson440%2.0 / 5
J. Simmons250%1.0 / 2
K. Martin0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

OKC
77
+22
-21
99
SAS
89
+17
-11
106
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
0.99 49.5%
SAS
0.96 48.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.7
110.2
OKC 100.0
SAS 102.0 +2.0
Pace
96.3
94.0
OKC 89.8 +0.3
SAS 89.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
16.2
OKC 16.0 −0.1
SAS 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
52.6%
OKC 43.7%
SAS 44.8% +1.1%
TO %
16.0%
13.3%
OKC 17.6%
SAS 9.8% −7.8%
ORB %
31.1%
22.9%
OKC 36.7% +13.8%
SAS 22.9%
FTrt
29.2
24.6
OKC 28.7
SAS 36.8 +8.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
61.1%
OKC 51.4% +10.9%
SAS 40.5%
STL %
7.6%
8.8%
OKC 7.1%
SAS 12.0% +4.9%
BLK %
9.3%
9.6%
OKC 6.8%
SAS 12.9% +6.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.95 and 2.95.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
54.9%
OKC 49.5% +1.4%
SAS 48.1%
Rim FG%
58.5%
62.8%
OKC 51.7%
SAS 55.2% +3.5%
Mid FG%
45.7%
43.2%
OKC 42.4% +3.8%
SAS 38.6%
3P %
34.9%
37.5%
OKC 24.0%
SAS 28.6% +4.6%
FT %
78.3%
80.3%
OKC 88.0% +13.0%
SAS 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.2%
32.7%
OKC 33.3%
SAS 33.3%
Mid Att. %
34.3%
44.9%
OKC 37.9% −12.6%
SAS 50.6%
3P Att. %
27.5%
22.3%
OKC 28.7% +12.6%
SAS 16.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.78 and 2.78.
Game TotalsOKCSAS
Possessions98100
Possession Minutes26.226.8
Points98102
Rebounds5542
Assists1815
Steals712
Blocks58
Turnovers (Team)21 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)18 (4)11 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (0)31 (0)
Field Goals35-8737-87
At-the-Rim FG15-2916-29
Midrange FG14-3317-44
2-Point FG29-6233-73
3-Point FG6-254-14
Free Throws22-2524-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 215 · 24
42.1
17
34%
5
4
1
1
4
1
1
4
6-7
86%
4-15
27%
1-7
14%
G · 6'2" 183 · 22
39.5
17
43%
3
7
1
0
6
4
1
2
0-0
-
7-14
50%
1-6
17%
C · 6'11" 265 · 23
37.6
17
94%
9
0
0
2
2
5
6
3
3-3
100%
7-8
88%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 35
30.3
6
75%
9
4
1
0
3
5
3
6
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 210 · 24
27.1
5
63%
10
0
2
2
0
3
2
8
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 245 · 24
38.1
17
53%
16
0
1
0
3
2
5
11
4-4
100%
5-11
45%
1-3
33%
G · 6'5" 210 · 31
21.4
8
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
5-5
100%
0-3
0%
1-3
33%
G · 6'4" 218 · 33
16.9
8
44%
1
3
0
0
3
1
0
1
4-4
100%
2-5
40%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 228 · 28
6.5
3
150%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
G · 6'7" 230 · 24
5.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 240 · 28
G · 6'4" 200 · 27
C · 6'10" 250 · 39
#9 · F · 6'10" 235 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · F · 6'10" 255 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
98
50%
55
18
7
5
21
0
18
37
22-25
88%
29-62
47%
6-25
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.