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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 13, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Raptors69%108103
29Nets31%10196
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.0
37.1
16.8
18
57%
5
7
0
1
2
1
2
3
4-4
100%
7-11
2-5
64%
49%
0-3
0%
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 22.9
36.6
30.8
30
78%
9
5
1
1
0
1
1
8
1-3
33%
7-12
3-6
58%
48%
5-6
83%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 23.7
35.6
7.7
6
50%
10
3
1
0
3
2
3
7
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
56%
0-1
0%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 20.6
35.0
2.7
3
17%
1
1
1
0
1
3
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
53%
1-7
14%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.7
21.8
15.0
12
47%
8
1
0
0
1
0
2
6
1-2
50%
4-8
1-3
50%
50%
1-4
25%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 25.2
28.6
23.4
24
55%
10
2
0
1
1
0
2
8
1-2
50%
4-9
2-5
44%
49%
5-12
42%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.6
17.7
15.9
2
17%
6
3
2
1
0
2
1
5
0-2
0%
1-4
2-4
25%
51%
0-1
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.1
15.2
18.6
5
50%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
1-3
33%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 23.6
12.4
19.3
3
39%
5
1
0
0
2
0
3
2
1-2
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
56%
0-0
-
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.7
28.6
1
6-13
47%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 30.1
27.3
1
3-6
47%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.9
22.4
0
5-8
58%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 36.0
14.1
0
1-3
49%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.7
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.0
37.0
25.0
29
79%
6
2
1
0
0
3
0
6
2-3
67%
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
7-10
70%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.5
28.3
29.5
6
40%
3
4
2
1
0
2
0
3
0-1
0%
3-7
3-7
43%
48%
0-0
-
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 26.0
23.2
21.8
10
71%
7
1
0
1
3
0
2
5
0-0
-
5-7
3-7
71%
47%
0-0
-
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.2
21.7
19.7
6
43%
5
1
3
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
47%
0-3
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.4
16.6
23.2
5
34%
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
0-1
0%
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.2
31.5
26.3
9
32%
6
0
0
1
2
1
0
6
0-0
-
3-9
3-6
33%
47%
1-5
20%
Sean Kilpatrick
G · 6'4" 212 · 26.3
31.4
26.7
12
42%
5
3
1
1
0
0
0
5
1-1
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
50%
1-4
25%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.2
26.0
22.0
11
46%
3
10
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-9
2-4
44%
48%
1-3
33%
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 21.3
24.2
17.3
8
59%
3
1
1
1
2
1
0
3
2-4
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 25.1
14.2
1
2-5
47%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 28.0
9.8
0
2-4
52%
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 22.5
8.9
0
1-1
50%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.5
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 25.9
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.