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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 13, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Hawks60%10598
15Wizards40%102109
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 31.2
31
32
13
11
1
2
2
3
4
4
7
5-6
83%
4-12
5-10
33%
51%
0-2
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.9
30
32
19
8
2
1
1
1
2
0
8
5-5
100%
4-5
5-9
80%
55%
2-5
40%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 35.1
29
29
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
1-4
25%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 27.8
27
29
16
2
5
2
1
0
5
0
2
2-2
100%
4-6
5-10
67%
48%
2-5
40%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 26.8
21
24
4
8
4
2
1
0
4
0
8
2-2
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
50%
0-4
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.9
24
21
0
7
2
2
1
0
1
1
6
0-2
0%
0-4
1-3
0%
54%
0-1
0%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 22.6
21
18
11
0
3
1
1
0
3
0
0
2-6
33%
3-8
3-7
38%
47%
1-3
33%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 27.7
17
15
10
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
53%
2-2
100%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 24.1
16
17
13
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
3-4
75%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.2
11
10
3
3
1
3
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24.8
10
7
6
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
55%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.3
3
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Lamar Patterson
G-F · 6'5" 225 · 24.7
Edy Tavares
C · 7'3" 265 · 24.1
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 31.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.0
34
28
22
4
6
1
1
0
5
0
4
1-2
50%
6-11
4-9
55%
47%
3-5
60%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 30.8
33
20
14
6
4
2
1
0
1
2
4
3-4
75%
4-4
2-3
100%
51%
1-4
25%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.6
29
13
19
8
8
3
1
0
3
3
5
3-5
60%
8-12
2-5
67%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 28.9
26
20
14
5
2
1
1
0
1
0
5
1-1
100%
5-10
2-5
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 22.9
22
24
5
3
1
3
1
1
0
0
3
1-1
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-4
0%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 20.3
26
17
6
3
0
0
1
1
2
0
3
0-2
0%
3-7
2-4
43%
48%
0-1
0%
Jarell Eddie
G-F · 6'7" 218 · 24.5
21
9
7
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
43%
1-3
33%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27.6
19
11
6
12
1
0
0
1
1
5
7
2-8
25%
2-7
2-4
29%
50%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 29.9
16
21
12
1
1
1
1
1
6
0
1
2-3
67%
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
2-4
50%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33.5
12
16
3
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 34.6
2
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.2
26
1
5-9
55%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 22.8
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 26.6
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.