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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 13, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2976ers
105
17Bulls
115
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.3
42
32
27
6
2
1
2
0
2
1
5
7-7
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
6-13
46%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.1
38
24
20
6
1
1
1
2
1
1
5
4-6
67%
5-10
3-6
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.8
38
32
10
5
8
0
1
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
2-7
4-9
29%
43%
2-6
33%
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.7
37
10
11
3
5
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
43%
3-4
75%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 22.0
33
31
7
6
2
3
2
3
1
1
5
1-2
50%
3-9
5-10
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 25.0
31
26
21
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
2-3
67%
5-7
2-4
71%
42%
3-6
50%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.1
22
20
9
3
9
3
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
47%
1-1
100%
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.5
33
1
2-5
46%
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 20.5
11
0
1-3
45%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 37.1
10
0
1-2
47%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 24.9
10
0
1-1
38%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 32.6
8
0
2-3
52%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.5
4
0
1-1
53%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.1
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 20.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 24.4
44
13
13
7
0
0
0
1
1
0
7
3-3
100%
2-8
1-2
25%
46%
2-3
67%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 25.2
39
28
32
7
4
5
1
3
2
2
5
5-6
83%
3-6
2-5
50%
49%
7-11
64%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 27.0
37
23
29
3
5
2
1
1
4
1
2
6-8
75%
4-8
2-4
50%
47%
5-7
71%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 23.8
29
21
6
9
4
0
1
2
2
4
5
2-2
100%
2-7
3-5
29%
56%
0-1
0%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 26.6
26
33
10
12
10
0
2
1
3
5
7
2-3
67%
4-12
6-11
33%
52%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 24.3
34
20
16
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
7-10
2-5
70%
50%
0-1
0%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 21.2
28
24
9
14
1
1
1
0
5
4
10
2-2
100%
2-8
4-8
25%
50%
1-1
100%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 31.2
3
16
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 35.6
21
1
1-3
49%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.5
20
1
4-9
49%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 35.8
19
0
3-7
51%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 27.1
13
0
2-3
51%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.8
7
0
1-2
54%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.1
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.