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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 13, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs58%10396
12Mavericks42%10091
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.7
37.0
14.1
22
88%
12
1
0
0
2
1
3
9
8-8
100%
7-9
3-5
78%
56%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F-G · 6'9" 230 · 22.6
30.4
20.8
15
66%
10
4
5
1
0
0
1
9
2-3
67%
5-9
2-4
56%
49%
1-1
100%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 40.1
28.1
7.6
8
51%
6
5
0
0
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.8
26.9
22.5
12
52%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
3-6
1-2
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 36.0
22.7
5.7
6
50%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
50%
2-4
50%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.6
30.7
10.6
19
53%
7
2
2
0
0
2
1
6
5-9
56%
7-11
1-2
64%
51%
0-3
0%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 33.2
24.1
16.2
7
34%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
43%
0-5
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.7
20.1
18.8
3
38%
0
1
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 34.0
20.1
15.7
4
50%
2
7
0
0
0
5
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
54%
0-1
0%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.8
31.3
2
6-11
54%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.9
26.5
1
4-8
50%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.6
25.3
1
4-8
51%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.7
22.7
0
5-10
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.7
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 40.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.5
40.2
34.6
11
39%
4
3
3
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
3-11
27%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.8
36.5
24.5
13
45%
2
7
0
1
0
3
0
2
3-3
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
44%
2-7
29%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 37.8
33.8
29.2
19
44%
7
1
1
1
0
1
3
4
8-10
80%
4-10
4-9
40%
47%
1-7
14%
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 22.4
30.1
22.2
7
60%
5
4
1
1
1
0
0
5
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 32.2
29.6
21.5
8
82%
12
2
0
1
0
3
5
7
2-2
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
45%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 31.8
33.4
26.4
22
65%
4
2
1
1
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
7-10
3-6
70%
45%
2-6
33%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 31.6
15.0
6.2
9
90%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
3-5
60%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 29.8
11.2
15.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-2
0%
0-1
2-3
0%
53%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.0
7.2
16.2
2
50%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Dwight Powell
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.7
2.9
5.6
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.8
19.6
0
3-6
46%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 33.1
19.6
1
1-3
49%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.2
3.6
0
1-1
54%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 28.5
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.