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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 13, 2016
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Grizzlies8%96104
1Warriors92%115125
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 36.1
32
30
6
9
6
2
1
0
2
2
7
2-3
67%
2-6
3-5
33%
47%
0-5
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.7
26
27
24
6
4
2
1
0
4
5
1
2-2
100%
11-19
6-13
58%
45%
0-2
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 39.2
23
19
9
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
41%
3-3
100%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 29.4
21
23
9
2
4
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
42%
1-4
25%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.8
8
19
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
57%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 25.6
35
24
22
2
4
2
1
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
5-11
4-9
45%
46%
3-3
100%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 25.8
26
22
12
8
2
0
1
0
2
4
4
2-3
67%
5-8
4-8
63%
46%
0-0
-
Xavier Munford
G · 6'4" 173 · 23.9
26
26
4
2
4
2
1
1
0
0
2
0-1
0%
2-8
2-6
25%
42%
0-2
0%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 21.9
24
16
11
5
0
1
0
0
3
2
3
3-4
75%
4-8
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
PJ Hairston
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.3
17
17
5
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
41%
1-5
20%
Bryce Cotton
G · 6'1" 165 · 23.7
2
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
40%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 34.3
14
1
2-4
46%
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 21.8
3
0
0-1
42%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 31.2
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.5
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.9
31
31
15
6
1
0
1
0
2
0
6
1-2
50%
4-5
3-6
80%
53%
2-5
40%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.1
30
33
11
9
7
1
1
1
5
3
6
1-2
50%
2-4
4-6
50%
55%
2-4
50%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.1
30
34
46
4
6
2
2
0
2
1
3
6-6
100%
5-5
5-9
100%
56%
10-19
53%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 26.2
28
33
16
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
5-9
67%
52%
4-10
40%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 31.4
19
21
4
4
1
0
1
2
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
59%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.2
29
23
3
4
7
1
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
57%
0-3
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 30.6
21
20
6
3
10
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
55%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 33.4
18
15
5
6
1
0
1
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
52%
1-2
50%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.5
13
11
4
6
0
0
0
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
56%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 28.7
12
11
12
4
0
2
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
5-7
2-5
71%
49%
0-2
0%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.8
4
11
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
1-1
100%
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 23.3
3
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
56%
0-1
0%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.5
2
5
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.1
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.