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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
October 25, 2016
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs21%99129
1Warriors79%111100
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.3
35
29
26
14
3
1
1
0
2
8
6
5-6
83%
9-19
7-14
47%
47%
1-1
100%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.3
32
32
35
5
3
5
2
0
2
3
2
15-15
100%
10-18
6-12
56%
50%
0-3
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.4
26
22
9
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
46%
1-2
50%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.1
22
20
3
4
0
1
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
44%
1-1
100%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 36.3
18
25
2
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
4-9
25%
46%
0-0
-
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 27.1
28
14
20
4
3
0
0
1
2
1
3
1-3
33%
5-9
2-3
56%
47%
3-5
60%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 39.2
21
14
10
5
2
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
2-6
33%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.2
18
22
11
1
5
4
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
45%
3-5
60%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 27.2
17
14
2
8
0
1
0
2
1
4
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
52%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.5
11
13
6
6
2
0
0
0
2
3
3
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Nicolas Laprovittola
G · 6'4" 180 · 26.7
4
11
0
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.3
4
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24.0
4
10
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
1-1
100%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.3
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 20.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.1
37
34
27
10
4
2
1
2
0
0
10
4-5
80%
10-15
7-13
67%
52%
1-3
33%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.6
34
31
26
3
4
0
2
0
4
0
3
5-6
83%
6-8
3-6
75%
51%
3-10
30%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 26.7
33
34
11
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
4-8
57%
47%
1-6
17%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.6
33
35
18
12
6
5
1
1
2
5
7
2-2
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
50%
2-5
40%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 32.7
20
20
2
3
1
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.7
27
24
2
2
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
53%
0-2
0%
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.6
13
9
5
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
48%
0-4
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 31.1
13
18
2
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
50%
0-1
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.2
11
15
2
2
0
1
0
1
4
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Patrick McCaw
G · 6'7" 185 · 21.0
9
7
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
0-2
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.8
4
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-2
1-2
50%
54%
0-0
-
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.7
4
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 34.1
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 21.3
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.