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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 26, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Pistons36%10391
8Raptors64%108109
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.7
39
34
4
0
3
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
46%
0-3
0%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.3
36
32
22
5
1
1
1
0
5
0
5
5-5
100%
7-11
4-8
64%
49%
1-2
50%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.3
33
24
6
1
7
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
42%
0-4
0%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.1
32
31
17
9
3
1
1
0
2
4
5
1-1
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
46%
2-8
25%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 23.2
24
33
16
6
0
1
1
0
4
1
5
2-6
33%
7-11
7-13
64%
51%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 27.5
23
16
9
9
0
1
0
0
1
1
8
2-2
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.9
15
11
8
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
50%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.3
15
6
5
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
1-4
1-1
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 20.4
14
23
2
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 28.2
5
8
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
54%
0-0
-
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 19.8
2
10
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Michael Gbinije
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24.4
2
7
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.5
8
0
1-2
44%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25.6
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 26.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 30.6
38
35
10
5
8
1
2
0
2
1
4
3-3
100%
2-8
4-9
25%
45%
1-5
20%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.5
35
27
32
11
1
0
1
0
1
6
5
12-14
86%
10-15
5-10
67%
55%
0-0
-
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 27.2
34
32
40
4
1
1
1
0
6
1
3
6-6
100%
17-25
7-16
68%
44%
0-2
0%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.3
29
24
8
7
1
1
1
0
0
0
7
2-4
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
2-6
33%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.6
22
9
4
9
0
1
0
0
0
2
7
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.6
26
25
3
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.2
22
23
6
4
2
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 25.7
19
22
4
4
3
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 21.0
13
14
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
52%
0-0
-
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 23.4
2
14
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-2
0%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 22.7
8
0
1-1
44%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 21.1
7
0
1-2
49%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 24.3
6
0
1-1
54%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 24.6
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.