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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 26, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Nuggets
107
23Pelicans
102
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.2
38
29
15
3
2
3
1
1
1
0
3
2-4
50%
2-5
3-7
40%
44%
3-6
50%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.8
35
24
22
5
2
0
1
0
2
2
3
6-6
100%
5-9
3-5
56%
47%
2-3
67%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.6
28
25
11
7
3
1
1
0
6
0
7
7-8
88%
2-7
3-8
29%
40%
0-1
0%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.2
26
16
23
9
3
0
1
1
1
2
7
5-6
83%
9-13
3-6
69%
45%
0-0
-
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.7
21
27
5
7
2
0
1
0
4
1
6
0-0
-
1-3
4-7
33%
52%
1-2
50%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.5
30
23
12
7
1
0
1
0
2
0
7
1-1
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
48%
1-6
17%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.9
28
25
9
14
1
2
1
2
3
6
8
3-6
50%
3-8
5-9
38%
52%
0-1
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.7
20
15
9
2
3
1
0
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
44%
1-4
25%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 19.7
13
22
1
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.1
1
14
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 19.9
14
1
1-3
46%
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22.8
4
0
1-1
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.7
1
0
0-0
50%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.1
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 23.6
41
33
50
15
5
5
1
4
3
1
14
16-17
94%
17-32
9-17
53%
52%
0-2
0%
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 26.0
37
14
15
5
11
4
1
0
1
0
5
2-4
50%
5-7
2-4
71%
45%
1-3
33%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 27.7
28
16
10
1
4
1
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
48%
2-4
50%
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 25.6
27
16
2
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-4
0%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.3
17
13
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
52%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 26.1
26
16
8
3
3
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
49%
0-0
-
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 24.8
18
15
6
3
1
3
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
52%
0-1
0%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 22.9
17
23
4
1
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
0-3
0%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 28.5
11
12
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
51%
0-0
-
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.9
11
24
5
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.5
9
22
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 26.4
28
1
5-10
47%
Cheick Diallo
F-C · 6'8" 219 · 20.1
10
0
1-2
50%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.1
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.