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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 26, 2016
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Kings51%107113
26Suns49%10694
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 29.0
35.6
8.7
9
46%
6
7
2
0
1
2
3
3
2-2
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
45%
1-4
25%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.2
33.2
28.9
22
66%
3
2
0
1
4
0
0
3
3-4
75%
8-12
4-9
67%
47%
1-3
33%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.0
26.2
24.0
8
51%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-5
2-5
0%
46%
2-2
100%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.2
24.7
32.8
24
70%
6
2
1
2
0
3
1
5
12-16
75%
6-9
7-15
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.7
13.4
11.2
2
16%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-1
0%
1-6
2-4
17%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 36.6
27.6
21.3
14
78%
7
3
0
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
4-4
2-4
100%
48%
2-5
40%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.2
19.1
23.9
6
50%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
54%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 30.5
17.9
11.4
12
75%
2
3
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
6-7
1-1
86%
45%
0-1
0%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 23.7
16.7
21.5
6
40%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
0-2
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.4
14.8
6.8
6
50%
5
2
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-3
0-0
100%
52%
0-3
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.3
8.5
21.7
4
100%
3
0
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
50%
0-0
-
Malachi Richardson
G · 6'6" 205 · 20.8
2.3
7.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.2
26.9
1
3-7
50%
Skal Labissiere
F-C · 6'11" 225 · 20.6
Georgios Papagiannis
C · 7'1" 240 · 19.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
TJ Warren
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.1
30.4
12.7
14
44%
5
1
2
0
0
0
2
3
4-4
100%
5-12
2-4
42%
52%
0-2
0%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 26.9
29.4
28.6
16
63%
6
5
1
2
0
4
0
6
4-4
100%
3-6
4-9
50%
49%
2-5
40%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 31.3
25.8
21.5
4
41%
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-2
0%
2-4
1-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Devin Booker
G · 6'6" 210 · 20.0
24.6
29.1
18
63%
2
3
0
1
0
4
0
2
2-5
40%
8-9
4-10
89%
47%
0-3
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 34.1
22.9
20.3
8
68%
10
0
0
0
0
1
3
7
0-2
0%
4-5
3-4
80%
60%
0-0
-
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 24.9
25.8
29.5
7
33%
1
5
0
1
0
2
0
1
5-6
83%
1-5
3-7
20%
46%
0-3
0%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 23.4
24.1
23.6
8
58%
7
2
1
1
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
45%
0-0
-
Marquese Chriss
F · 6'10" 240 · 19.3
22.2
13.1
7
44%
4
2
0
0
1
4
2
2
1-2
50%
3-7
1-3
43%
50%
0-0
-
Tyler Ulis
G · 5'10" 160 · 20.8
13.7
9.6
2
33%
1
1
2
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
0-0
-
Dragan Bender
F · 7'1" 225 · 18.9
11.9
21.5
10
100%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
3-5
100%
53%
2-3
67%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 31.5
5.7
27.2
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
47%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 33.9
3.4
5.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Alan Williams
F-C · 6'8" 265 · 23.7
3.6
0
1-1
49%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 19.7
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.