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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
October 27, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Wizards
99
15Hawks
114
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.7
32
27
4
11
1
1
1
1
3
3
8
0-0
-
2-6
5-8
33%
54%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.1
30
35
12
3
10
4
2
1
5
2
1
6-7
86%
3-13
5-12
23%
44%
0-2
0%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.2
28
22
22
4
2
2
1
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
7-15
3-7
47%
46%
2-3
67%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 23.4
26
29
10
6
1
2
1
0
0
2
4
0-1
0%
5-7
2-5
71%
50%
0-0
-
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 23.3
24
29
13
0
4
0
1
0
3
0
0
1-1
100%
6-10
4-8
60%
44%
0-2
0%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 20.9
22
16
5
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-4
50%
0-2
2-3
0%
47%
1-4
25%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 29.4
20
13
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
44%
1-3
33%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.9
19
10
9
7
0
1
0
1
1
2
5
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 24.0
18
19
8
0
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-1
0%
4-5
2-5
80%
42%
0-2
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30.7
9
11
2
5
2
0
0
0
4
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.0
4
12
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Sheldon Mac
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 23.8
4
9
7
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
44%
1-2
50%
Daniel Ochefu
F · 6'11" 245 · 22.9
4
7
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.0
Danuel House
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 31.7
31
31
28
7
6
0
2
1
2
2
5
3-4
75%
8-14
4-9
57%
49%
3-6
50%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.9
30
28
11
19
2
1
1
3
3
7
12
3-4
75%
4-9
4-7
44%
58%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 27.3
26
25
7
3
1
1
1
0
4
0
3
4-4
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
49%
1-4
25%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 23.1
25
21
14
2
2
1
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 35.6
22
24
5
3
4
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
1-3
33%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 25.3
26
12
9
4
1
2
0
3
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
54%
1-2
50%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 24.6
23
16
21
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
5-8
1-2
63%
48%
3-5
60%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.5
22
18
13
7
5
5
1
0
1
3
4
0-2
0%
5-7
1-2
71%
52%
1-1
100%
Malcolm Delaney
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.6
20
12
4
1
5
1
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.7
9
12
0
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Taurean Prince
F · 6'8" 220 · 22.6
4
18
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-0
-
DeAndre' Bembry
F-G · 6'6" 210 · 22.3
2
15
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Edy Tavares
C · 7'3" 265 · 24.6
7
0
1-2
53%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 28.3
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 31.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.